CF Montreal vs. FC Cincinnati odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s CF Montreal vs. FC Cincinnati odds and lines, with MLS picks and predictions.

CF Montreal (6 wins, 5 losses, 2 draws) welcomes FC Cincinnati (6-6-1) to Saputo Stadium Saturday. Kickoff is set for 7:30 p.m. ET. Below, we preview the CF Montreal vs. FC Cincinnati odds and lines, and make our best MLS bets, picks and predictions.

CF Montreal has been among the best teams in the MLS, sitting 4th in the Eastern Conference. They have collected 9 points in 5 home games, posting a 3-2-0 home record.

Montreal is one of the more high-paced teams in the MLS. It has scored 24 goals and allowed 23, which are tied for the most in the conference and the second-fewest, respectively. It is led by 23-year-old F Djordje Mihailovic, who has 7 goals on the season.

FCC is led in scoring by 23-year-old F Brandon Vazquez, who has scored 7 goals as well and is drawing attention from the United States Men’s National Team.

Only Vazquez and M Luciano Acosta have more than one goal for FCC. FCC is 4-2-1 on the road this season, totaling 13 points in 7 matches. The club has scored 18 and allowed 21.

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CF Montreal vs. FC Cincinnati odds, lines, picks and predictions

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:45 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: CF Montreal -145 (bet $145 to win $100) | FC Cincinnati +380 (bet $100 to win $380) | Draw +310
  • Over/Under: 2.5 (O: -160 | U: +130)

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Prediction

CF Montreal 3, FC Cincinnati 2

Money line (ML)

LEAN CF MONTREAL -145.

FCC might be better on the road, but that’s not a typical pattern. I assume their road record will regress. Also, FC Cincinnati lacks depth in the goal-scoring department with just two players scoring multiple goals.

Montreal, on the other hand, can attack with a plethora of high-level finishers. It has had 5 players, 4 of which consistently start, score more than 1 goal.

One could even say FCC’s road record is lucky as it has either had as many expected goals or fewer expected goals in 5 of their 7 matches away from TQL Stadium, yet accrued 3 points in 4 of them.

Considering Montreal already beat FCC this season, I expect its strength at home to be showcased. This is only a lean because of the -145 value. That doesn’t give enough return for this to be a full-unit bet.

Over/Under (O/U)

LEAN OVER ALTERNATE TOTAL 3.5 (+155).

FC Cincinnati and Montreal play high-scoring games. That’s about all there is to it. The score earlier this season was 4-3, and in the three matches that the two sides played last season, there were 12 goals.

On top of that, as noted earlier, Montreal is tied for the most goals in the conference and has allowed the second most. CF Montreal topped 2.5 goals in every home game and has topped 3.5 once.

Given how FCC plays, having allowed 1.62 goals per game, I expect this game to be a thrilling, scoring-heavy match.

However, the Over 2.5 at -160 doesn’t give the value I prefer considering the wager being taken, and the 3.5 at +155 is relatively risky, which is why this is again just a lean as well.

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