Category: Troy

South Alabama vs Troy Prediction, Game Preview

South Alabama vs Troy prediction, game preview, how to watch, lines, and why each team might – or might not – win this Saturday.

South Alabama vs Troy prediction, game preview, how to watch: Saturday, November 6

South Alabama vs Troy How To Watch

Date: Saturday, November 6
Game Time: 3:30 ET
Venue: Veterans Memorial Stadium, Troy, AL
How To Watch: ESPN+
Record: South Alabama (5-3), Troy (4-4)
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South Alabama vs Troy Game Preview

Why South Alabama Will Win

Can the Jaguars finally put it all together to get the one win to get bowl eligible?

It’s not hard. They win when the offense is great, the lose when it isn’t.

They got through the first three games against awful teams to build up a 3-0 start, and since then when they get to 420 yards or more, they win, when they don’t they lose.

That’s going to be tough against the Troy defense, but as long as the passing game can keep things moving, the defense should be able to take care of the rest.

The Jaguars are great defensively on third downs, they’re amazing at controlling the clock, and they have to not freak out when the running game doesn’t work a lick because …

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Why Troy Will Win

Troy’s run defense is terrific, and that’s partially because the pass rush is among the best in the country. The South Alabama offensive line is good in pass protection, but it’s not good enough to deal with what’s coming.

The deadly combination of Javon Solomon and Richard Jibunor are too good and too relentless for the nation’s leading team in tackles for loss and isn’t far off in sacks.

The offense has enough balance and versatility to keep everything moving, but it’s that defensive front that has to take over right away and get the Jaguar O off the field.

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What’s Going To Happen

This should be fun.

South Alabama will throw well enough, and then the Troy defense will clamp down with that pass rush.

The South Alabama pass rush will be a killer, too.

The Trojans need to generate the takeaways that turn games around, but the Jaguars are just as good at forcing mistakes.

This will be a dead even, fun game that hangs on whose defense can do just a little bit more.

At home, Troy will get it done with one late stop.

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South Alabama vs Troy Prediction, Lines

Troy 31, South Alabama 27
Line: Troy -3.5, o/u: 47
ATS Confidence out of 5: 1.5

Must See Rating: 3.5

5: Belfast
1: Ghostbusters: Afterlife

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Coastal Carolina vs Troy Prediction, Game Preview

Coastal Carolina vs Troy prediction, game preview, how to watch, lines, and why each team might – or might not – win on Thursday night.

Coastal Carolina vs Troy prediction, game preview, how to watch: Thursday, October 28

Coastal Carolina vs Troy How To Watch

Date: Thursday, October 28
Game Time: 7:30 ET
Venue: Brooks Stadium, Conway, SC
How To Watch: ESPN2
Record: Coastal Carolina (6-1), Troy (4-3)
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Coastal Carolina vs Troy Game Preview

Why Troy Will Win

What did Appalachian State do that was so right in the win over Coastal Carolina?

It got off to a hot start, it was more physical on the offensive line and ran well, and the defensive front was able to get out on the Chanticleer playmakers in open space and swarm, holding the O to just 55 rushing yards.

Troy has to run well right away. It’s coming off its best running day of its season with 200 yards in the win over Texas State.

The defense is No. 1 in the nation in both sacks and tackles for loss – it can get into the backfield and bother the Coastal Carolina running game before it gets started.

However …

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Why Coastal Carolina Will Win

Troy hasn’t seen anything like this.

It had to deal with the Liberty offense and all of its playmakers – and held up reasonably well – but it was still a 21-13 loss.

Appalachian State played as well as could be asked for in the win over the Chanticleers, and it was still close in a 30-27 fight.

It took a monster offensive performance from the Mountaineers, and Troy doesn’t have that much firepower. There’s not much from the ground attack and there’s nothing happening with the passing game down the field.

The Trojan D might be great, but get down early, and forget it.

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What’s Going To Happen

Coastal Carolina will bounce back fast.

The speed of the Chanticleer offense will offset the Trojan pass a wee bit, and there won’t be enough turnovers to matter.

Troy takes the ball away a ton thanks to it pressure, but Coastal Carolina’s offense will be efficient and won’t screw this up after a great first quarter.

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Coastal Carolina vs Troy Prediction, Lines

Coastal Carolina 34, Troy 16
Line: Coastal Carolina -17, o/u: 51.5
ATS Confidence out of 5: 2

Must See Rating: 3

5: The French Dispatch
1: Finch

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Troy vs Texas State Prediction, Game Preview

Troy vs Texas State prediction, game preview, how to watch: Saturday, October 16

Troy vs Texas State prediction, game preview, how to watch: Saturday, October 16

Troy vs Texas State How To Watch

Date: Saturday, October 16
Game Time: 3:00 ET
Venue: Bobcat Stadium, San Marcos, TX
How To Watch: ESPN+
Record: Troy (3-3), Texas State (2-3)
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Troy vs Texas State Game Preview

Why Troy Will Win

Can the Troy defense continue to take the ball away?

It’s been a weird season with a 13-point loss to ULM and a nine-point loss to South Carolina. When the defense comes up with a slew of takeaways, good things happen.

The Trojans generated seven turnovers in the three wins, came up with three more in the close loss to South Carolina that should’ve been a blowout, and there was just one takeaway in the other two losses.

Texas State has turned the ball over way too much with nine giveaways, and Troy needs the big defensive plays because …

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Why Texas State Will Win

The Troy offense has been stunningly bad.

The running game isn’t doing enough – even though it finally started to work a wee bit over the last two weeks – it still has yet to hit 150 yards against any FBS team, and the passing attack isn’t high-powered enough to make up for it.

The Trojans put up 55 on Southern in the opener and hasn’t hit 28 points since. Considering the Texas State defense has been blasted at times – and allowed 132 points over the last three games – this should be a relative break.

The Bobcats have hardly been consistent offensively, but at least they’re scoring. And …

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What’s Going To Happen

The defense is taking the ball away, too.

For all of the problems with giveaways, Texas State is able to force a ton of mistakes with three takeaways in three of the last four games.

Both teams are going to make mistakes – set the over/under on turnovers between the two teams at 5.5 – but Texas State’s errors will be a wee bit bigger in a low scoring fight.

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Troy vs Texas State Prediction, Line

Troy 24, Texas State 21
Line: Troy -7.5, o/u: 48.5
ATS Confidence out of 5: 3

Must See Rating: 2

5: Caramel apple anything
1: Pumpkin spice anything

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Georgia Southern vs Troy Prediction, Game Preview

Georgia Southern vs Troy prediction, game preview, how to watch: Saturday, October 9

Georgia Southern vs Troy prediction, game preview, how to watch: Saturday, October 9

Georgia Southern vs Troy How To Watch

Date: Saturday, October 9
Game Time: 7:00 ET
Venue: Veterans Memorial Stadium, Troy, AL
How To Watch: ESPN+
Record: Georgia Southern (2-3), Troy (2-3)
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Georgia Southern vs Troy Game Preview

Why Georgia Southern Will Win

The Troy offense isn’t going anywhere.

It’s been able to get over 300 yards in each of its last three games, but the running game is struggling and there isn’t enough of a downfield passing game to mark up for it.

The Trojans are having problems on the offensive line – it’s allowing too many sacks – and the Georgia Southern defense is great at getting behind the line.

On the other side, the running game is coming off a 503-yard day against Arkansas State, but …

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Why Troy Will Win

Troy has the nation’s best pass rush.

That might not mean much against a Georgia Southern offense that doesn’t throw the ball, but the Trojans lead the nation with nine tackles for loss per game and should be able to get to the Eagle ground attack before it can get started.

Georgia Southern’s offense might be built around controlling the game, but it’s not good enough on third downs and the D doesn’t get off the field.

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What’s Going To Happen

Troy can’t run and it can sort of throw, Georgia Southern doesn’t throw but the ground attack is fantastic.

Troy will be able to run a bit, too.

The Trojans are finally back at home after being away for a month, and the defense will rise up and produce with the defensive front taking over on third downs.

It’ll be a grind, but Troy will hang on.

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Georgia Southern vs Troy Prediction, Line

Troy 26, Georgia Southern 23
Line: Troy -5.5, o/u: 50.5
ATS Confidence out of 5: 1.5

Must See Rating: 2

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South Carolina vs Troy Prediction, Game Preview

South Carolina vs Troy prediction, game preview, how to watch: Saturday, October 2

South Carolina vs Troy prediction, game preview, how to watch: Saturday, October 2

South Carolina vs Troy How To Watch

Date: Saturday, October 2
Game Time: 3:30 ET
Venue: Williams-Brice Stadium, Columbia, SC
How To Watch: SEC Network
Record: South Carolina (2-2), Troy (2-2)
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South Carolina vs Troy Game Preview

Why Troy Will Win

The pass rush is a killer.

The offensive side might be hit-or-miss, but the Trojan defense has been suffocating. It’s allowing fewer than 100 rousing yards per game and 244 overall yards per outing helped by 18 sacks in the four games.

South Carolina is having problems putting points on the board. It rolled through Eastern Illinois but scored a total of just 43 over the last three games. The pass protection has been a problem, and the Trojans will take advantage of it. However …

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Why South Carolina Will Win

Yeah, the Troy offense can’t get moving well enough.

The running game hasn’t done much of anything over the last three games, and that’s against Liberty – who just got punched by Syracuse’s ground attack – Southern Miss, and against ULM.

The South Carolina defense has been a plus, mostly against the pass. If Troy can’t crank up the run, it’s not doing anything offensively.

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What’s Going To Happen

The two defenses will take over.

Troy’s D will keep the game from getting out of hand, but the South Carolina running game will be steady enough to get a few points on the board. The Trojan offense will have its chances to take over, but it’ll stall time and again.

It’s not going to be pretty, but South Carolina will take a 3-2 start.

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South Carolina vs Troy Prediction, Line

South Carolina 26, Troy 13
Line: South Carolina -7, o/u: 42.5
ATS Confidence out of 5:

Must See Rating: 2

5: ‘The Low End Theory’ 30th anniversary
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Troy vs ULM Prediction, Game Preview

Troy vs ULM prediction, game preview, how to watch: Saturday, September 25

Troy vs ULM prediction, game preview, how to watch: Saturday, September 25

Troy vs ULM How To Watch

Date: Saturday, September 25
Game Time: 8:00 ET
Venue: Malone Stadium, Monroe, LA
How To Watch: ESPN+
Record: Troy (2-1), ULM (1-1)
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Troy vs ULM Game Preview

Why Troy Will Win

The defense has been stifling.

Troy could use a little more offense – the passing game has been okay, but the O doesn’t make it easy on itself – with the defense taking over with a slew of big plays, nothing happening through the air, and a pass rush that gets into the backfield in bunches.

ULM has a hard time moving the chains, there’s little downfield passing attack in the first two games, and the ground game managed just 111 yards so far.

This isn’t the game when the O gets healthy.

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Why ULM Will Win

The Troy offense doesn’t get much on the ground.

It couldn’t get anything consistently going against Liberty, and Southern Miss held the attack to just 49 yards.

ULM has a whole slew of problems, but was able to keep the Jackson State ground game in check. It’s not hurting itself with big turnovers or mistakes. In this, just not screwing up will be everything.

Troy doesn’t have enough of an O overcome giveaways.

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What’s Going To Happen

Can ULM get anything going offensively?

Troy won’t blow the doors off the Warhawks, but they’ll be steady enough to get out to an early lead and let the defense take care of the rest. It won’t be anything pretty, but the Trojans will happily take 3-1.

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Troy vs ULM Prediction, Line

Troy 30, ULM 10
Line: Troy -24, o/u: 50
ATS Confidence out of 5: 1.5

Must See Rating: 2

5: Muhammad Ali film by Ken Burns
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Troy vs Southern Miss Prediction, Game Preview

Troy vs Southern Miss prediction and game preview. Saturday, September 18

Troy vs Southern Miss prediction and game preview.

Troy vs Southern Miss Broadcast

Date: Saturday, September 18
Game Time: 7:00 ET
Venue: MM Roberts Stadium, Hattiesburg, MS
Network: ESPN+ 

Troy vs Southern Miss Broadcast

Date: Saturday, September 18
Game Time: 7:00 ET
Venue: MM Roberts Stadium, Hattiesburg, MS
Network: ESPN+
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Troy (1-1) vs Southern Miss (1-1) Game Preview

Why Troy Will Win

Troy gave a push to a very, very good Liberty team in a 21-13 loss.

The defense is outstanding, it’s holding running games in check, and it has enough offensive parts to own third downs all while not turning the ball over.

It’s a well-coached, veteran team that’s not giving up big plays through the air and should be able to keep the still-emerging Southern Miss offense in check.

The Golden Eagles aren’t doing anything on third downs because of an inefficient passing game without much of a threat down the field. There’s plenty of dinking and dunking going on, and the midrange throws were there in the blowout win over Grambling, but the Troy defense is a whole different animal.

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Why Southern Miss Will Win

The win over Grambling was encouraging.

Southern Miss got star RB Frank Gore Jr. loose for 162 yards, Trey Lowe had an effective passing game – even if there wasn’t anything explosive – and the offense started to move.

This is all going to be a work in progress as Will Hall is just getting his era going, but the pass rush is solid, there are a whole lot of plays being made in the backfield, and there’s hope if the team can get off to a hot start at home.

However …

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What’s Going To Happen

Southern Miss has a turnover issue early on.

Troy hasn’t been air tight, but it’s been able to generate four takeaways in the first two games, the defense has been great overall, and the offensive balance should be just enough to pull this off.

On the other side, the Golden Eagles have five turnovers so far, and the passing game isn’t effective enough to push through after getting down early.

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Troy vs Southern Miss Prediction, Line

Troy 27, Southern Miss 13
Line: Troy -10.5, o/u: 50
ATS Confidence out of 5: 3

Must See Rating: 2

5: Steve is proud of you
1: Ordinary Joe

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Liberty vs Troy Prediction, Game Preview

Liberty vs Troy prediction and game preview.

Liberty vs Troy prediction and game preview.

Liberty vs Troy Broadcast

Date: Saturday, September 11
Game Time: 7:00 ET
Venue: Veterans Memorial Stadium, Troy, AL
Network: ESPN+

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Liberty (1-0) vs Troy (1-0) Game Preview

Why Liberty Will Win

The veteran team is loaded with firepower and it keeps looking to make big statements.

Beating up the Fighting Camels of Campbell 48-7 was no big deal, but it was a good warm up for what’s next through a tough slate, including this.

Rising NFL prospect Malik Willis didn’t turn it loose, but he was sharp. Joshua Mack ground out 60 yards, and there wasn’t any drama whatsoever.

Troy is improved, and it’s a sneaky-dangerous team in the Sun Belt race, but it doesn’t have the offensive talent the Flames are bringing. Liberty is full of veterans who have been through the big road battles, but …

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Why Troy Will Win

This really is a dangerous Troy team.

The world is smitten with Coastal Carolina, and Appalachian State might really be the Sun Belt’s best team, but Troy has the talent to be a major factor.

Missouri transfer QB Taylor Powell had a strong first game in the 55-3 win over Southern, the running game was okay, and the lines were nearly perfect.

There might not be the experience Liberty is bringing, but this is a veteran team, too, with the defense that should be able to get behind the line and make Willis more of a pocket passer.

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What’s Going To Happen

Don’t be stunned if this turns into one of the better games of the weekend.

Liberty might unleash the offense, but Troy really does have the defense to get off the field enough to matter.

The Flames will come through late, but they’ll need to go on a few scoring drives in the fourth quarter to get it done.

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Liberty vs Troy Prediction, Line

Liberty 34, Troy 30
Line: Liberty -3.5, o/u: 62.5
ATS Confidence out of 5: 2

Today’s Best Bet to Lock in Now

Must See Rating: 3.5

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Sun Belt Predictions, Schedule, Game Previews, Lines, TV: Week 1

Sun Belt college football predictions, schedule, game previews, lines, and TV listings for Week 1 of the season.

Sun Belt college football predictions, schedule, game previews, lines, and TV listings for Week 1 of the season.

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Click on each game for game preview & prediction

Results So Far
SU: 0-0, ATS: 0-0, Point Total: 0-0

Thursday, September 2

The Citadel at Coastal Carolina

7:00, ESPN+
Line: No Line, o/u: No Line

East Carolina vs. Appalachian State

7:30, ESPNU
Line: Appalachian State -10.5, o/u: 59.5

Saturday, September 4

Army at Georgia State

12:00, ESPNU
Line: Georgia State -3, o/u: 52

ULM at Kentucky

12:00, SEC Network
Line: Kentucky -29.5, o/u: 54.5

Louisiana at Texas

4:30, FOX
Line: Texas -9, o/u: 58

Gardner-Webb at Georgia Southern

6:00, ESPN3
Line: No Line, o/u: No Line

Baylor at Texas State

7:00, ESPN+
Line: Baylor -13.5, o/u: 55

Central Arkansas at Arkansas State

7:00, ESPN3
Line: No Line, o/u: No Line

Southern at Troy

7:00, ESPN3
Line: No Line, o/u: No Line

Southern Miss at South Alabama

8:00, ESPN+
Line: PICK, o/u: 56.5

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Troy vs Southern Prediction, Game Preview

Troy vs Southern prediction and game preview.

Troy vs Southern prediction and game preview.

Troy vs Southern Broadcast

Date: Saturday, September 4
Game Time: 7:00 ET
Venue: Veterans Memorial Stadium, Troy, AL
Network: ESPN3

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Troy (0-0) vs Southern (0-0) Game Preview

Why Southern Will Win

The Jaguars had a strong FCS spring session going 5-1 – really, 4-1 with a forfeit – with one of the nation’s most productive running games that leads to third down conversion after third down conversion.

QB Ladarius Skelton is a big-time all-around playmaker who has to be contained. He’s the team’s most dangerous runner, a veteran passer, and he’s got the ability to take over drives by himself.

On the other side, Southern gets into the backfield. Some parts have to be replaced, but this is still an aggressive group that should bother a Troy offense that was way too inconsistent over the last few years. However …

– Week 1 College Football Expert Picks

Why Troy Will Win

Just about everyone is back on the Troy offense. Yeah, it has to be far more explosive and far more consistent, but there’s no issue with experience or depth.

And then there’s the defense.

The Troy D was already good, and now it gets absolutely everyone back to go along with a few excellent transfers. This should be a swarming group that gets better and better as the year goes on, and it should be able to keep the Southern attack from coming up with the explosive plays it generated in 2020.

– Week 1 College Football Schedule

What’s Going To Happen

The Troy defense really is that good.

Southern still has enough offense to get a few points on the board, but the Troy offense will be fine and the team will be well focused after the lessons of last year’s 31-29 close call to Eastern Kentucky from the FCS.

This won’t be a blowout, but it’ll turn into a good, tough tune-up for the Trojans.

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Troy vs Southern Prediction, Line

Troy 38, Southern 20
No Line, o/u: No Line

Must See Rating: 2

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