Category: PGA Tour odds

2025 Sony Open prop bet picks and PGA Tour predictions

Analyzing the odds for the 2025 Sony Open with PGA Tour picks and predictions for the top prop bets.

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The new PGA Tour season continues this week with the 2025 Sony Open, the second event on the calendar. It will once again be held at Waialae Country Club in Honolulu on the island of Oahu in Hawaii, with the first round beginning on Thursday morning.

Below, we search for the best value prop bets for the Sony Open from BetMGM Sportsbook’s PGA Tour odds and make our PGA Tour picks and predictions.

Hideki Matsuyama will try to make it 2 wins in a row after taking the title at The Sentry last week, and he’s the betting favorite at +900 in Honolulu. Corey Conners, Tom Kim and Russell Henley are among the other top contenders, as is Sahith Theegala.

Waialae Country Club is a par 70 course that plays at only 7,044 yards, featuring narrow, tree-lined fairways and 85 bunkers around the property. It requires accuracy off the tee, unlike the Plantation Course at Kapalua last week, so it’s a very different course than the one from last week’s event on Maui. Still, it typically yields low scores, with the winner being between 11-under and 27-under each year since 2010. Last year’s winning score was 17-under 263 by the late Grayson Murray.

Sony Open – Top-5 picks

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of PGA Tour odds. Lines last updated Tuesday at 6:12 p.m. ET.

Byeong Hun An (+400)

An finished second in this event last year and also came in 12th in 2023, so he’s had back-to-back strong showing at Waialae in the last 2 years. He’s one of the best ball-strikers in the field, which this course emphasizes more than Kapalua did last week.

Keegan Bradley (+450)

Like An, Bradley also lost to Murray in a playoff last year, his second top-12 finish in the last 3 years at this event. He started this season well with a T-15 at The Sentry last week and will try to carry that momentum into Honolulu.

Sony Open – Top-10 picks

Chris Kirk (+400)

Kirk has finished second and third at the Sony Open in the last 4 years, never finishing worse than 27th in that span. He won The Sentry in 2024 and though he didn’t play well in his title defense last week, he’s had success in Hawaii over the years.

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Tom Kim (+188)

This course rewards accuracy off the tee and good ball-striking, so Kim should be a factor come Sunday. His putting still needs to improve but with how small the greens are this week, he should have more birdie looks than most players with how solid he is from tee to green.

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Sony Open – Top-20 picks

Nick Taylor (+300)

In his last 3 starts at the Sony Open, Taylor has finished 11th once and seventh twice. He’s learned how to plot his way around Waialae Country Club and could find himself near the top of the leaderboard again come Sunday.

Tom Hoge (+220)

Hoge is a terrific iron player who should have success at a course like Waialae where distance isn’t rewarded. His best finishes in this event since 2018 are third and 12th and he got off to a good start at The Sentry last week with an opening-round 64 before drifting in the next 3 rounds.

Sony Open – Matchups

Suggested play is golfer in bold.

Chris Kirk (-110) vs. Harry Hall (-110)

Hall has only played this tournament twice, finishing 28th in 2023 and 42nd last year. It’s not as if he’s had a lot of success, whereas Kirk has come in second, 27th, third and 18th in the last 4 years. There’s no way this matchup should be -110 on each side.

Sony Open – Top Canadian

Nick Taylor (+850)

Taylor’s history here is laid out above and in this betting market, there are 4 players with the same or shorter odds than Taylor to be the top Canadian: Conners (+175), Taylor Pendrith (+333), Mackenzie Hughes (+500) and Adam Svensson (+850). He has 3 top-11 finishes in the last 3 years here and should not be this far down the board.

Sony Open – First-round leader

Tom Hoge (+6000)

Hoge was the first-round leader last week at The Sentry with a 64 on Thursday, so he’ll try to make it back-to-back hot starts. He’s had varying levels of success at Waialae but at +6000, he’s worth a sprinkle.

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2025 Sony Open odds, picks and PGA Tour predictions

Analyzing the golf odds to win the 2025 Sony Open, with PGA Tour picks, predictions and best bets.

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The PGA Tour will remain in Hawaii for another week for the 2025 Sony Open, which is played at Waialae Country Club in Honolulu. The first round of this full-field event begins on Thursday morning from the island of Oahu and continues through Sunday.

Below, we look at Sony Open odds from BetMGM Sportsbook’s PGA Tour odds and make our PGA Tour picks and predictions.

After winning The Sentry on Sunday with a PGA Tour scoring record of 35-under par, Hideki Matsuyama will tee it up again this week in Oahu. He’s the favorite with pre-tournament odds of +900, ahead of Corey Conners (1600), Tom Kim (+1800) and Russell Henley (2000). Matsuyama is a former champion here, winning in 2022.

Waialae Country Club differs greatly from the Plantation Course at Kapalua where The Sentry was played. This is a tree-lined course with narrow fairways and doglegs, requiring players to be accurate off the tee. It’s only 7,044 yards and plays as a par 70, featuring 83 bunkers spread throughout the property.

Sony Open – Expert picks

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of PGA Tour odds. Lines last updated Monday at 6:15 p.m. ET.

Byeong Hun An (+2200)

An was the runner-up here last year after also finishing T-12 in 2023, so he’s had success in this event despite only playing it twice in his career. He didn’t have the best showing at Kapalua last week where he finished T-32 out of 58 players, but simply playing the first Hawaii event of the year will help him this week.

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Russell Henley (+2000)

At a course that emphasizes accuracy off the tee. Henley is a perfect fit. It’s why he’s finished in the top 32 in each of the last 4 years, including a fourth-place last year and runner-up in 2022. He also played The Sentry, which typically benefits players in the Sony Open.

Keegan Bradley (+2500)

Bradley and his new mustache finished T-15 at The Sentry last week and he’ll try to have another strong showing at Waialae where he’s had success in the past. He lost in a playoff last year and tied for 12th in 2022 and 2020, missing the cut in 2023 and 2021.

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Sony Open picks – Contenders

Chris Kirk (+5000)

Kirk has quietly played some good golf in Hawaii, winning The Sentry last year and finishing 27th or better in each of the last 4 editions of the Sony Open. He’s had second- and third-place finishes in the last 4 years. He’ll try to get on track after a disappointing T-44 last week.

Tom Hoge (+5500)

Hoge fired an opening-round 64 at The Sentry last week before shooting 68-68-69 in the final 3 rounds to fade down the leaderboard, but he still came in eighth. Though he’s missed the cut in 3 of the last 4 years here, he does have finishes of third and 12th since 2018.

Sony Open picks – Long shots

Patton Kizzire (+15000)

Kizzire has played this tournament every year since 2018, which was the year he won it. He’s only missed the cut once in that span, notching 3 other top-13 finishes in addition to that win.

Nick Taylor (+10000)

Taylor is a regular at this event and he’s really figured out how to navigate Waialae over the years. In his last 3 starts here, he’s recorded 3 straight top-11 performances (11th and seventh twice).

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2025 The Sentry final-round odds, golfers to watch

Analyzing the golf odds entering the final round to win the 2025 The Sentry at the Plantation Course at Kapalua in Maui, Hawaii.

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Three rounds are in the book at the 2025 The Sentry and only 4 golfers are within 7 strokes of the lead. Below, we look at BetMGM Sportsbook’s PGA Tour odds for The Sentry entering Sunday’s final round being played in Maui, Hawaii. Check back throughout the season for our PGA Tour picks, predictions and bets.

Hideki Matsuyama, who opened at +1800 to win, is at 27-under-par 192 and will take a 1-stroke lead into Sunday’s final round at the Plantation Course at Kapalua (7.596 yards, par 73).

Pre-tournament favorite Xander Schauffele (+650 to begin the week) is tied for 33rd place at 11-under after rounds of 72-70-66. Defending champion Chris Kirk, who won at 29-under 263, is tied for 36th place at 10-under after shooting 74-67-68. He opened at +8000 to win.

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The Sentry – Final pairing

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of PGA Tour odds. Lines last updated at 12:33 a.m. ET.

Hideki Matsuyama (-125)

The 32-year-old pro shot an 11-under 62 Saturday after firing a pair of 65’s and has a 1-stroke lead as he tries for his 11th career title. He has 1 bogey, 1 eagle, 26 birdies and 26 pars through 3 rounds.

Collin Morikawa (+110)

The 27-year-old pro, who opened at +1100 to win, also shot an 11-under 62 Saturday to go with a 66-65 and will try for his seventh career title.

Thomas Detry (+4000)

The 31-year-old pro from Belgium, who opened at +10000 to win, shot his second straight 65 after an opening 67 and is in third place 5 shots back at 22-under. He’s seeking his first career title in his 63rd tour start.

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The Sentry – In the hunt

Before the final group tees off at 3:08 p.m. ET (4-6 p.m. ET NBC/Peacock, 6-8 p.m. Golf Channel), here are 2 other players to watch as they try to chase down Matsuyama.

Sungjae Im (+5000): Starts in fourth place 6 shots back at 21-under after rounds of 69-67-62. He opened at +1800.

Harry Hall (+20000): He starts in fifth place 7 shots back at 20-under after rounds of 68-65-66. He opened at +8000.

The Sentry – Props update

Before the tournament started, we mentioned a few prop bets worth considering a play on. Let’s take a look at 3 of them.

Collin Morikawa (+200 to make top 5): Start thinking how you’ll spend your winnings if you bet it. We also pegged Sungjae Im here at +350.

Matt Fitzpatrick (+350 to make top 10): Starts final round tied for 21st at 15-under with rounds of 73-65-66.

Nico Echavarria (+175 to make top 20): Starts final round tied for 33rd place at 11-under with rounds of 71-71-66.

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2025 The Sentry prop bet picks and PGA Tour predictions

Analyzing the odds for the 2025 The Sentry with PGA Tour picks and predictions for the top prop bets.

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The first event of the 2025 PGA Tour season takes place this week in Hawaii with The Sentry at the Plantation Course at Kapalua. The first round of this exclusive, no-cut, 60-player event begins on Thursday morning.

Below, we search for the best value prop bets for The Sentry from BetMGM Sportsbook’s  PGA Tour odds and make our PGA Tour picks and predictions.

Xander Schauffele (+650) is the favorite this week with Scottie Scheffler out due to a hand injury, the only player with odds shorter than +1000. Justin Thomas (+1000), Collin Morikawa (+1100) and Ludvig Aberg (+1600) are among the other top players teeing it up in Maui, as is defending champion Chris Kirk (+8000).

The Plantation Course is a par 73 and is listed at 7,596 yards, but it doesn’t play as long as that yardage number indicates. There are vast elevation changes, which lead to long drives on these massively wide fairways. Inaccuracy off the tee isn’t as penalizing as it is at other courses because of how forgiving the fairways are.

The Sentry – Top-5 picks

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of PGA Tour odds. Lines last updated Tuesday at 2:51 p.m. ET.

Collin Morikawa (+200)

Morikawa has been as steady as any player in this event since 2020, finishing second once, fifth twice and seventh twice. That’s right, he’s never finished worse than seventh in this tournament in the last 5 years. At +200, his odds are short but it’s hard to quit him at the Plantation Course.

Sungjae Im (+350)

Im has a great track record here, notching 2 top-5 finishes in his last 4 starts (2021 and 2024). With scores expected to be low, this course fits Im perfectly – and it’s a limited-field tournament with only 60 players teeing it up.

Justin Thomas (+200)

Another course horse, Thomas has won here twice since 2017 and has 3 other top-5 finishes in his last 7 starts at The Sentry. He’s played well this fall/winter, too, coming in second at the ZOZO Championship and third at the Hero World Challenge. It’s hard not to like him this week.

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The Sentry – Top-10 picks

Matt Fitzpatrick (+350)

Fitzpatrick is mostly just a value play this week because of how long his odds are. He finished 14th in this event last year and seventh in 2023, his only 2 starts in The Sentry. Fitzpatrick has the ball-striking skills to win here. He just needs the putter to show up.

Brian Harman (+300)

Harman’s putting travels well and he should have success on the large greens at Kapalua. Plus, despite not being a bomber off the tee, the downhill holes will help level the playing field distance-wise and still give Harman some shorter irons into the greens.

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The Sentry – Top-20 picks

Akshay Bhatia (-150)

Bhatia made his tournament debut here last year and finished 14th, a strong showing for a player in his first start in any event. Now that he’s seen the course and gained some experience, he should be even better suited to contend for a win. At the very least, a top-20 feels likely for the lefty.

Nico Echavarria (+175)

Echavarria came in 25th in his debut last year, gaining 0.37 strokes. Amazingly, he finished 25th despite terrible ball-striking numbers (-2.9 tee-to-green), getting a ton of help from his putter (4.36 SG). If he can putt like that again and improve his ball striking, he’ll be near the top of the leaderboard.

The Sentry – Matchups

Suggested play is golfer in bold.

Byeong-Hun An (-110) vs. Tony Finau (-110)

This is mostly about fading Finau. He’s had an up-and-down history in this event, finishing as high as seventh in 2023, but as low as 38th last year. Plus, he’s coming off a knee injury that caused him to miss a couple of starts this month.

The Sentry – Top Brit and Irish

Matt Fitzpatrick (+275)

Back to Fitzpatrick we go. There are only 4 players in this market, with Robert MacIntyre being the favorite at +160. Fitzpatrick’s odds should not be as long as they are, making him a good bet to be the top British/Irish player at the end of the week.

The Sentry – Top Australian

Cam Davis (+300)

Jason Day (+150) and Adam Scott (+120) are the only other Australian players in the field, so we’re getting +300 odds for Davis to beat just 2 other players. He came in 52nd last year, but finished 10th in his debut in 2022.

The Sentry – First-round leader

Cameron Young (+4000)

Who knows when Young will ever win a PGA Tour event, but we at least know he can have some incredibly low rounds. He shot 64 in the first round of the Hero World Challenge to grab a 2-shot lead before fading down the stretch, which was also his first PGA Tour round since August.

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2025 The Sentry odds, picks and PGA Tour predictions

Analyzing the golf odds to win the 2025 The Sentry, with PGA Tour picks, predictions and best bets.

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The 2025 PGA Tour season kicks off this week with The Sentry, the first event of the new calendar. It’s once again being held at the Plantation Course at Kapalua on Maui, opening the season in beautiful Hawaii. The first round begins on Thursday.

Below, we look at The Sentry odds from BetMGM Sportsbook’s PGA Tour odds and make our PGA Tour picks and predictions.

It’s an exclusive field at The Sentry, with only 60 players making up the list of competitors in Hawaii. It’s comprised of winners from last season, as well as the top 50 in the 2024 FedExCup standings. Scottie Scheffler is notably absent due to a recent hand injury suffered on Christmas, which required surgery and will sideline him 4-5 weeks. Xander Schauffele, Justin Thomas, Collin Morikawa and Ludvig Aberg are among the other stars teeing it up.

The Plantation Course is a par 73, the only such course on the PGA Tour schedule, and plays at 7,596 yards long. There are huge elevation changes throughout this venue, with steep drop-offs from tee to green on several holes. It’s why some of the longest drives of the year are often hit here. The event has been played at the Plantation Course since 1999, with the winning score being 20-under or better in 12 of the last 15 years. Chris Kirk won last year at 29-under 263.

The Sentry – Expert picks

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of PGA Tour odds. Lines last updated Monday at 3:37 p.m. ET.

Collin Morikawa (+1100)

With it being the first event of the year, we don’t have much recent form to go off of. That’s the case for Morikawa, who hasn’t played since the ZOZO in late October. Instead, we’ll look at his course history, which is unbelievably good at Kapalua. He’s finished T-7 or better in each of his 5 career starts at The Sentry, including a second-place finish in 2023 when he blew a 7-shot final-round lead to Jon Rahm. He’s bound to win this event at some point in his career.

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Sungjae Im (+1800)

Im should always be a popular pick at courses where birdies come in bunches, as they do at Kapalua. He’s finished fifth, eighth, 13th and fifh in 4 career starts here. He could be in better form than other players, too, considering he played in the Hero World Challenge earlier this month and finished T-9.

Justin Thomas (+1000)

Thomas loves the Plantation Course. Or at least, his scores suggest he does. Since 2016, he’s only finished outside the top 5 three times, which was in 2023 (25th), 2018 (22nd) and 2016 (21st). He excels at this venue, using his shot-shaping ability to hit the necessary approaches into Kapalua’s big greens.

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The Sentry picks – Contenders

Matt Fitzpatrick (+5000)

Fitzpatrick’s odds are simply too long for a player of his caliber. He’s plenty long off the tee and his approach play is among the best in the world when he’s on. In 2 appearances at The Sentry in the last 2 years he’s finished T-7 and T-14.

J.T. Poston (+4000)

Poston has played this event 3 times in his career, finishing 11th in his debut in 2020, 21st in 2023 and fifth last year. With how good he is as a putter, he can contend anywhere, and his shorter length off the tee won’t be as much of a disadvantage this week with how far the ball is going to roll out on some of the downhill holes.

The Sentry picks – Long shots

Cam Davis (+10000)

This just feels like an event Davis can win with his sporadic tee shots on a course where inaccuracy with the driver isn’t as penalizing. If he can dial in his wedges and putt better than he has in the past, he’ll have a real shot this week. He finished T-10 in 2022 before coming in T-52 last year, his only 2 appearances at The Sentry.

Nico Echavarria (+10000)

Echavarria just won the ZOZO Championship in October against a strong field and he’ll try to stun the world’s best again this week at Kapalua. In his tournament debut last year, he finished T-25, so he should be more comfortable than he was in his first start a year ago.

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2024 Grant Thornton Invitational odds, picks and PGA Tour predictions

Analyzing the golf odds to win the 2024 Grant Thornton Invitational, with PGA Tour picks, predictions and best bets.

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It’ll be another limited field in this week’s featured event, the 2024 Grant Thornton Invitational, which is a special mixed-team event at Tiburon Golf Club in Naples, Fla. The first of 3 rounds begins on Friday, with the tournament concluding on Sunday.

Below, we look at Grant Thornton Invitational odds from BetMGM Sportsbook’s PGA Tour odds and make our PGA Tour picks and predictions.

There are only 16 teams competing in this week’s event, each of which has a PGA Tour and LPGA Tour player on it. The first round is a scramble and the second round is alternate shot, with the tournament concluding on Sunday with a round of modified fourball. Among the notable teams competing are Tony Finau and Nelly Korda, Jason Day and Lydia Ko, and Rickie Fowler and Lexi Thompson.

Day and Ko won the event last year, the inaugural playing of this tournament, with a 54-hole score of 190. The course will play as a par 72 for both the men and women, but it’ll be 7,382 yards for the men and 6,788 yards for the women.

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Grant Thornton Invitational – Expert pick

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of PGA Tour odds. Lines last updated Monday at 7:26 p.m. ET.

Tom Kim/Jeeno Thitikul (+550)

Kim lit it up on the weekend at the Hero World Challenge, finishing second behind Scottie Scheffler thanks to rounds of 62 and 68. Thitikul just won at Tiburon last month when she took home the CME Group Tour Championship, so she should be familiar with this layout. And with Kim’s accuracy off the tee, they shouldn’t be in trouble much.

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Grant Thornton Invitational picks – Contender

Akshay Bhatia/Jennifer Kupcho (+1200)

Bhatia looked great at the Hero World Challenge, finishing fourth with a score of 15-under par. He’s a long hitter who should set their team up with good looks into the greens, especially in alternate shot formats. Kupcho didn’t win this season, but she had 6 top-10s in 26 starts.

J.T. Poston/Maja Stark (+1600)

Oftentimes, team events come down to who makes the most putts and Poston is one of the best putters on tour. Stark has finished top-3 in 3 events this season.

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2024 Hero World Challenge final-round odds, golfers to watch

Analyzing the golf odds entering the final round to win the 2024 Hero World Challenge at the Albany Golf Club in Nassau, the Bahamas.

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Three rounds are in the book at the 2024 Hero World Challenge and 5 golfers are within 5 strokes of the lead. Below, we look at BetMGM Sportsbook’s PGA Tour odds for the Hero World Challenge entering Sunday’s final round being played in Nassau, the Bahamas. Check back throughout next season for our PGA Tour picks, predictions and bets.

Justin Thomas, who opened at +900 to win, is at 17-under-par 199 and will take a 1-stroke lead into Sunday’s final round at Albany Golf Course (7,449 yards, par 72).

Pre-tournament favorite and defending champ Scottie Scheffler (+225 before the opening round) is in second place at 16-under. He won last year at 20-under-par.

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Hero World Challenge – Final pairing

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of PGA Tour odds. Lines last updated at 2 a.m. ET.

Justin Thomas (+130)

The 31-year-old pro shot a 6-under 66 Saturday to go with a 66-67 and will try for his 16th career title. In his last 4 starts at the Hero World Challenge, he has finished third once and fifth 3 times.

Scottie Scheffler (+100)

The 28-year-old pro, who opened at +225 to repeat as champ, shot a 3-under 69 to go with a 67-64 and will try for his 14th career title. He starts 1 shot back at 16-under with 18 birdies and 2 bogeys  through 3 rounds.

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Hero World Challenge – In the hunt

Before the final group tees off at 12:24 p.m. ET (11:30 a.m.-1:30 p.m. Golf Channel, 1:30-4:30 p.m. NBC), here are 2 other players to watch as they try to chase down the Thomas.

Tom Kim (+700): After a sizzling 10-under-par 62 Saturday, to go with a 74-65, he starts in third place 2 shots back at 15-under. He opened at +1800.

Keegan Bradley (+2800): He starts in fourth place 4 shots back at 13-under after rounds of 68-67-68. He opened at +3300.

Sahith Theegala (+5000): Starts tied for fifth place 5 shots back at 12-under after rounds of 67-71-66. He opened at +1800.

Hero World Challenge – Props update

Before the tournament started, we mentioned a few prop bets worth considering a play on. Let’s take a look at 3 of them.

Justin Thomas (+110 to make top 5): Start thinking how you’ll spend your winnings — if you bet it.

Sungjae Im (+150 to make top 5): Starts final round tied for eighth place at 7-under with rounds of 69-68-72.

Robert MacIntyre (+220 to make top 5): Starts final round in seventh place at 9-under with rounds of 68-71-68.

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2024 Hero World Challenge prop bet picks and PGA Tour predictions

Analyzing the odds for the 2024 Hero World Challenge with PGA Tour picks and predictions for the top prop bets.

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A star-studded field will be teeing it up in the Bahamas this week for the Tiger Woods-hosted 2024 Hero World Challenge at Albany Golf Course in Nassau. World No. 1 Scottie Scheffler is back to defend his title in his first tournament since the Presidents Cup.

Below, we search for the best value prop bets for the Hero World Challenge from BetMGM Sportsbook’s PGA Tour odds and make our PGA Tour picks and predictions.

Scheffler won this event a year ago with a score of 20-under par, 3 shots clear of Sepp Straka, who finished second. Justin Thomas, Patrick Cantlay and Ludvig Aberg are among the top players who are also playing this week as they attempt to take down the seemingly unbeatable Scheffler. It’s a field that’s limited to just 20 players with a $5 million purse.

Albany Golf Course is a par 72 and plays 7,449 yards long and features 5 par 5s and 5 par 3s, giving players a unique layout with plenty of scoring opportunities. There are water hazards throughout the course and plenty of bunkers across the layout, playing similar to a links-style track – especially when the wind picks up.

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Hero World Challenge – Top-5 picks

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of PGA Tour odds. Lines last updated Tuesday at 4:08 p.m. ET.

Justin Thomas (+110)

In his last 4 starts at the Hero World Challenge, Thomas has finished third once and fifth 3 times. His odds are short for a top 5 with it being a 20-player field, but he has plenty of experience at this course and already had a second-place finish at the ZOZO Championship.

Sungjae Im (+150)

Im came in eighth in his tournament debut in 2023 and now that he has some experience at Albany Golf Course, he could be even better equipped for a higher finish on the leaderboard.

Robert MacIntyre (+220)

MacIntyre excels on links courses, which this one is similar to. If the wind picks up, the Scotsman is someone to bet on and watch out for because he’s accustomed to playing in those difficult conditions.

Other T5 contenders (in order from longest odds to shortest):

  • Cameron Young (+275)
  • Akshay Bhatia (+225)

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Hero World Challenge – Matchups

Suggested play is golfer in bold.

Brian Harman (+120) vs. Russell Henley (-150)

In a tournament like this where players have minimal course history and not many rounds played in recent months, it’s worth taking a plus-money bet in head-to-head matchups. Harman finished eighth here last year and this will be Henley’s debut. This line should be closer to -110.

Hero World Challenge – Top Brit and Irish

Robert MacIntyre (-125)

Back to MacIntyre in this market where it’s essentially a head-to-head matchup between him and Aaron Rai (+100). MacIntyre is a sleeper to win this week with his links golf experience.

Hero World Challenge – First-round leader

Brian Harman (+2200)

Harman has an Open Championship under his belt and knows how to flight the ball down in windy conditions. He was also tied for the lead after the first round last year when he and Tony Finau each shot 67 on Thursday.

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2024 Hero World Challenge odds, picks and PGA Tour predictions

Analyzing the golf odds to win the 2024 Hero World Challenge, with PGA Tour picks, predictions and best bets.

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Many of the world’s best golfers will be in the Bahamas this week for the 2024 Hero World Challenge, a tournament hosted by Tiger Woods. Albany Golf Course will once again host this star-studded event, which is headlined by world No. 1 Scottie Scheffler. The first round begins on Thursday morning from Nassau.

Below, we look at Hero World Challenge odds from BetMGM Sportsbook’s PGA Tour odds and make our PGA Tour picks and predictions.

Scheffler, who’s making his first start since the Presidents Cup, is the defending champion here. He won the Hero World Challenge last year at 20-under-par. He’s joined by Justin Thomas, Patrick Cantlay and Ludvig Aberg in this loaded field. Woods is hosting the event again, but he won’t be playing as he continues to recover from back surgery.

Albany Golf Course is a par 72 and plays at 7,449 yards. It was designed by Ernie Els and features plenty of water hazards throughout, which will challenge players. It’s not an overly difficult course, with 17 of the 20 players finishing under par last year and 9 in double-figures, but wind and weather factors could have an impact on scoring, too.

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Hero World Challenge – Expert picks

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of PGA Tour odds. Lines last updated Monday at 3:55 p.m. ET.

Justin Thomas (+900)

Thomas is a frequent participant in this event and he’s had success here with a third-place finish and 3 fifth-place finishes in the last 4 years alone. It’s a strong field, but also one with very little experience at this course outside of Thomas, Scheffler, Sam Burns, Patrick Cantlay and four others who have played it more than once. That could give Thomas an advantage. It’ll just come down to whether he can edge out the seemingly unbeatable Scheffler.

Sungjae Im (+1400)

Im tends to excel at events where birdies come in bunches, which was evidenced by his T-8 finish in 2023. His short game is excellent and when his irons are on, he can be one of the best ball-strikers on the planet, too. At +1400, he’s worth a shot this week.

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Hero World Challenge picks – Contenders

Akshay Bhatia (+2500)

Why not play the young and exciting Bhatia in a small field at a course where his length off the tee could be an advantage. Bhatia had a terrific 2024 season and now heads to the Bahamas where he’ll try to take on a stacked field and steak a victory to close out the year.

Hero World Challenge picks – Long shots

Sepp Straka (+4000)

Straka finished second last year after coming in 10th the year prior, so he’s found success in his only 2 trips to Albany Golf Course. He had 4 top-10s in 24 starts this season and cracked the top 25 in nearly half of those tournaments (11), so he had a decent season despite being without a top-5 finish.

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2024 RSM Classic final-round odds, golfers to watch

Analyzing the golf odds entering the final round to win the 2024 RSM Classic at the Sea Island Golf Club in St. Simons Island, Georgia

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Three rounds are in the book at the 2024 RSM Classic and 9 golfers are within 5 strokes of the co-leaders in the final PGA Tour event of the season. Below, we look at BetMGM Sportsbook’s PGA Tour odds for the RSM Classic entering Sunday’s final round being played in St. Simons Island, Georgia. Check back throughout next season for our PGA Tour picks, predictions and bets.

Vince Whaley and Maverick McNealy share the 54-hole lead at 14-under 198 and will take a 2-stroke into Sunday’s final round at Sea Island Golf Course Seaside Course (7,005 yards, par 70).

Pre-tournament favorite and defending champ Ludvig Aberg (+1000 to open the week) is tied for 42nd at 4-under after rounds of 73-64-71. Aberg won at 29-under 53 last year closing with a 61-61 on the weekend.

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RSM Classic – Final pairing

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of PGA Tour odds. Lines last updated Saturday at 7:55 p.m. ET.

Vince Whaley (+350)

The 29-year-old pro from Kentucky, who opened at +10000 to win, birdied the 18th hole for a 63 on Saturday after shooting 67-68 and is at 14-under. He will be playing in the final group for the first time on tour in 109 events and he looks for his first career title.

Maverick McNealy (+225)

The 29-year-old pro from California, who opened at +3500 to win, shot a third-round 66 after shooting 62-70 and shares the lead at 14-under. He’s seeking his first career title in his 141st tournament.

Daniel Berger (+750)

The 31-year-old pro from Florida, who opened at +9000 to win, shot a 63 on Saturday to move into a 4-way for third at 12-under 200. He’s seeking his fifth PGA title in 205 starts.

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RSM Classic – In the hunt

Before the final group tees off at 11:06 a.m. ET (1-4 p.m. ET, Golf Channel), here are 3 other players to watch as they try to chase down the leader.

MacKenzie Hughes (+700): Starts tied for third place, 2 shots back at 12-under rounds of 68-67-65. He opened at +3500.

Michael Thorbjornsen (+850): He also starts tied for third place — after rounds of 64-69-67. He opened at +8000.

Patrick Fishburn (+900): Also in third — after rounds of 67-64-69. He opened at +5500.

RSM Classic – Props update

Before the tournament started, we mentioned a few prop bets worth considering a play on. Let’s take a look at 3 of them.

Ben Griffin (+550 to make top 5): Starts final round tied for 25th place at 6-under with rounds of 69-72-65.

Harris English (+300 to make top 10): Starts final round tied for 42nd place at 4-under with rounds of 67-72-69.

Henrik Norlander (+350 to make top 20): Starts final round tied for 12th place at 8-under with round of 71-70-63.

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