The Dayton Flyers (9-1) and Colorado Buffaloes (9-2) will tangle Saturday evening at 6:30 p.m. ET in the Chicago Legends showcase at the United Center in Chicago. We analyze the Dayton-Colorado odds and betting lines, while providing college basketball betting tips and advice on this matchup.
The Flyers are ranked No. 12 in the USA TODAY Sports men’s basketball coaches poll.
Dayton vs. Colorado: Three things you need to know
- Colorado defeated Dayton in NIT action last spring. That contest – won by the Buffs, 78-73 – was held in Boulder on Colorado’s home hardwood. UD returned the bulk of its key players and has won nine of 10 games – losing only to No. 1 Kansas in overtime – to start the 2019-20 campaign. Kansas is actually a common opponent for the Flyers and Buffaloes: the Jayhawks beat UD 90-84 Nov. 27; they beat UC 72-58 Dec. 7.
- The Flyers are averaging 84.8 points per game which ranks sixth in DI hoops. UD is 3-1 against the spread in neutral-site games; Colorado is 0-2 ATS in such contests.
- There is a 21% gap in the early-season inside-the-arc field-goal shooting between these teams. Dayton is shooting a DI-best 65% on 2-pointers, while Colorado has languished with a 44% mark (300th). The Flyers have shot 39% from 3-point-land (17th); they’ve allowed a figure near that (which tends to be more of a random stat upon which to play or fade).
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Dayton vs. Colorado: Odds, betting lines and picks
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:15 a.m. ET.
Prediction
Dayton 73, Colorado 65
Moneyline (ML)
The moneyline wasn’t posted at the time of publication.
Against the Spread (ATS)
This line has a lower spread figure but a premium on the Dayton side. The value is still there and we’ll take DAYTON (-4.5, -121).
Since both teams played Kansas back-to-back, the Flyers went on to beat a top-40 team in St. Mary’s by 10 (in a game under heel all the way), while the Buffs struggled to beat 50th-ranked Northern Iowa (in a contest mostly controlled by NIU). Look for Dayton to win the turnover battle by a substantial margin and control this one by three scores.
New to sports betting? Every $1.21 wagered on Dayton will profit $1 if the Flyers win by 5 points or more.
Over/Under (O/U)
Both sides play at an average tempo. PASS on the 139.5 figure.
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