The Texas Southern Tigers (16-8) are 1.5-point underdogs to advance to the Round of 64 of the NCAA Tournament bracket in their First Four matchup against the Mount St. Mary’s Mountaineers (12-10) on Thursday at Assembly Hall (Indiana), beginning at 5:10 PM ET, airing on TRU.
The Mountaineers were led by Damian Chong Qui’s 21 points last time out in a 73-68 victory over Bryant on Tuesday. They covered the spread as 6.5-point underdogs, while the teams scored a combined 141 points to go over the 133 over/under.
Last time out, Joirdon Karl Nichols scored 16 points as the Tigers earned an 80-61 victory against Prairie View A&M on Saturday. The teams combined to score 141 points to hit the under on the 143 point total by sportsbooks, while the Tigers were 3-point underdogs and covered the spread.
Texas Southern at Mount St. Mary’s: Betting odds, spread and lines
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list.
Lines last updated at 1 PM ET on March 18, 2021.
- Money line: Texas Southern +105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Mount St. Mary’s -130 (bet $130 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS: Texas Southern +1.5 (-110) | Mount St. Mary’s -1.5 (-110)
- Over/Under: 132.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
Mount St. Mary’s: Three things to know
- The Mountaineers points and assists leader is Chong Qui. He averages 15.1 points per game and adds 5.5 assists. Deandre Thomas averages 1.9 made threes per game to pace the team.
- The Mountaineers record 63.7 points per game, six fewer points than the 69.7 the Tigers give up.
- When Mount St. Mary’s puts up more than 69.7 points, it is 6-0 against the spread and 6-1 overall.
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Texas Southern: Three things to know
- The Tigers points and assists leader is Michael Weathers. He averages 16.5 points per game and adds 3.5 assists. John Jones averages 1.0 made three per game to pace the team.
- The Tigers score an average of 74.8 points per game, 12.5 more points than the 62.3 the Mountaineers give up to opponents.
- Texas Southern has compiled a 16-7 overall record and a 9-0-2 ATS record in games where it scores more than 62.3 points.
Texas Southern at Mount St. Mary’s: Odds, betting lines, predictions and picks
Prediction
Texas Southern 68, Mount St. Mary’s 66
Money line
The model prefers the Tigers to win, disagreeing with the BetMGM money line favorite.
Against the spread (ATS)
The model has the Tigers as 1.8-point favorites in this one despite the opposite prediction from MGM. However, the margin between the two lines is only 2.8 points.
Over/Under (O/U)
The model predicts a total 2.8 points higher than the one set by MGM for this game.
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