The Buffalo Bills (12-3) battle the Cincinnati Bengals (11-4) at Paycor Stadium on Monday night. Kickoff from Cincinnati is set for 8:30 p.m. ET (ESPN). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Bills vs. Bengals odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.
The Bills are on a 6-game winning streak, most recently blowing out the Bears 35-13, covering as 14-point road favorites. Buffalo is 7-7-1 against the spread (ATS) and has only covered 3 times in their last 9 games. The Bills have the 4th-best offense in the NFL for points scored per game (28) and the 2nd-best defense for points allowed (17.5 PPG).
Cincinnati beat New England 22-18 last week, extending its win streak to 7 games and covering as 3-point road favorites. The Bengals have covered 9 of their last 10 games are are 12-3 ATS overall. The offense ranks 5th in passing yards per game (269.2) while the defense ranks 7th in rushing yards allowed per game (106.4).
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Bills at Bengals odds
Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Sunday at 2:31 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Bills -120 (bet $120 to win $100) | Bengals +100 (bet $100 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Bills -1.5 (-108) | Bengals +1.5 (-112)
- Over/Under (O/U): 49.5 (O: -109 | U: -111)
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Bills at Bengals key injuries
Bills
- DE Boogie Basham (calf) questionable
- TE Dawson Knox (hip) questionable
- OLB Matt Milano (knee) questionable
- NT Jordan Phillips (shoulder) questionable
- FS Jordan Poyer (knee) questionable
Bengals
- OT La’el Collins (knee) out
- DE Sam Hubbard (calf) questionable
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Bills at Bengals picks and predictions
Prediction
Bengals 27, Bills 20
Moneyline
BET BENGALS (+100).
This season, Buffalo is ranked 30th in turnovers (24), whereas Cincinnati has a top-10 defense in the takeaway category (20).
The Bills QB Josh Allen has thrown multiple interceptions 4 times in his previous 9 games. This could lead to a few game-changing turnovers and is becoming too consistent for the MVP-hopeful quarterback.
Against the spread
PASS.
The underdog is 7-2 ATS in the last 9 meetings between these 2 which bodes well for a Cincinnati win. While the Bengals have been hot against the spread this season and worthy of a play in this primetime battle, the moneyline is a more preferable play.
Over/Under
LEAN UNDER 49.5 (-111).
The Bills are 5-10 O/U and the Bengals are 5-9-1 O/U with just 1 of their previous 5 games hitting the Over. In a game that is predicted to be rainy, with 2 top-10 rush defenses, points will be at a premium.
The Under is 7-1 in the Bills’ last 8 road games and 7-0 in the Bengals’ last 7 games against a team with a winning record.
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