The Brooklyn Nets (16-7) visit the Dallas Mavericks (11-11) Tuesday at American Airlines Center for a cross-conference clash at 7:30 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Nets vs. Mavericks odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions, and bets.
Brooklyn has won six of the past eight games – but is just 2-6 ATS – with the latest being a 111-107 home loss to the Chicago Bulls Saturday. The Nets are 9-14 ATS and 10-13 O/U with the sixth-best net rating (plus-3.6).
Dallas is just 2-7 overall and 4-5 ATS over the past nine, which includes back-to-back losses to the New Orleans Pelicans and Memphis Grizzlies. The Mavs are 9-13 ATS and 8-13-1 O/U with the 23rd-best net rating (minus-1.8).
The Mavs thumped the Nets in both regular-season meetings last season and the Under cashed in each.
Nets at Mavericks odds, spread and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:20 p.m. ET.
- Money line: Nets -140 (bet $140 to win $100) | Mavericks +115 (bet $100 to win $115)
- Against the spread (ATS): Nets -2.5 (-110) | Mavericks +2.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 222.5 (O: -107 | U: -115)
PLAY: Free, daily sports pick’em contests. Play now!
Nets at Mavericks key injuries
Nets
- SG Joe Harris (ankle) out
Mavericks
- PF Kristaps Porzingis (knee) probable
- PG Luka Doncic (ankle) probable
- SG Tim Hardaway Jr. (knee) probable
- C Willie Cauley-Stein (personal) out
Nets at Mavericks odds, lines, picks and predictions
Prediction
Mavericks 113, Nets 108
Money line
Slight “LEAN” on the MAVERICKS (+115) if at all because I “like” Dallas plus the points and this is a solid payout to sprinkle on top of.
There are several more pro-Nets (-140) arguments so the Mavs’ spread is the better wager. However, no one is betting Dallas according to the Yahoo! Sports app and Pregame.com so there’s a ton of value in the Mavericks here.
Against the spread
Definitely BET the MAVERICKS +2.5 (-110) heavier than or instead of the money line because this number has been steamed up a half point by the market based on no new information.
The oddsmakers have access to the same data we do and understand Dallas’ recent performance and current health situation. Nearly 90% of the market is on Brooklyn in this spot and it’s typically profitable fading such lopsided betting markets, especially in prime-time sporting events.
Dallas beat Brooklyn twice last season and was a 2.5-point home underdog in the second meeting. The Nets got productive games from PG Kyrie Irving (45 points) and PF Kevin Durant (20 points) and still lost 113-109 in May.
I’d argue last year’s Brooklyn team was better than this current version even though the Nets are first in the East. The absence of Harris hurts Brooklyn’s floor spacing and makes it easier to defend KD and SG James Harden when they try to go one-on-one.
Lastly, the Nets have piled up wins but have covered only two of their last nine games. In fact, Brooklyn has one more ATS loss than Dallas this season. The Mavs should be motivated considering their .500 record and this being a home prime-time game against the best team in the East.
Over/Under
PASS since a vast majority of the market is on the Over and the one-sided betting action has steamed the Nets-Mavericks total up from the 215.5-point opener.
Several sportsbooks have this total lined at 219, so if you’re in New Jersey or Colorado, I’d sprinkle on the 217.5 (-115). Even at that number, we’d still be getting to the party late, but at least we’re getting a very good price.
If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Please gamble responsibly.
Follow Geoff Clark on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.
Additional NBA sports coverage:
HoopsHype | Celtics Wire | LeBron Wire | Lonzo Wire | Nets Wire | Rockets Wire | Sixers Wire | Thunder Wire | Warriors Wire | Rookie Wire | List Wire
Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).
[lawrence-newsletter]
[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1622]