The Brooklyn Nets (17-8) travel to the Big Peach Friday for a 7:30 p.m. ET game against the Atlanta Hawks (13-12) at State Farm Center. Below, we look at the Nets vs. Hawks odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions, and bets.
A Kevin Durant-less Nets squad lost to the Houston Rockets 114-104 as 3.5-point road favorites Wednesday. Brooklyn is 3-3 straight-up (SU), 1-5 ATS and 1-5 O/U with the 17th-best non-garbage time efficiency differential over the past two weeks, according to CleaningTheGlass.com.
Atlanta roasted the Timberwolves 121-110 in Minnesota its last time out but are also 3-3 SU in the last two weeks. The Hawks are 3-3 ATS and 4-2 O/U with the eighth-best non-garbage time efficiency differential.
The Nets handled the Hawks 117-108 as 4.5-point home favorites on a 221.5-point total in their first meeting of the season, Nov. 3. KD scored a game-high 32 points, but Atlanta won three of the “four factors.”
Also see: Bet Slippin’ Podcast: NBA December 10 breakdown
Nets at Hawks odds, spread and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 2 p.m. ET.
- Money line: Nets +115 (bet $100 to win $115) | Hawks -140 (bet $140 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Nets +2.5 (-108) | Hawks -2.5 (-112)
- Over/Under (O/U): 228.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)
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Nets at Hawks key injuries
Nets
- SG Joe Harris (ankle) out
Hawks
- SF Cam Reddish (illness) probable
- SF De’Andre Hunter (knee) out
- SG Bogdan Bogdanovic (foot) out
Nets at Hawks odds, lines, picks and predictions
Prediction
Hawks 118, Nets 113
Money line
GIMME the HAWKS (-140) because this is a get-right spot to snap a current three-game home losing streak and since the Nets (+115) have struggled vs. top-tier offenses thus far.
For instance, despite losing its last three home games, Atlanta is 8-4 at home with a plus-8.2 efficiency differential, which ranks fourth in the NBA. Also. the Hawks have the second-best non-garbage time offensive efficiency in the league.
On the other hand, Brooklyn is just 2-6 overall vs. teams with a top-10 offensive rating with a minus-8.3 efficiency differential (ranked 22nd) and a minus-12.6 ATS margin (ranked dead-last).
Lastly, Atlanta’s pick-and-roll (PnR) action should be effective vs. Brooklyn. According to ShotQuality.com, the Hawks generate the most shots off of PnR plays while the Nets are 22nd in shot quality allowed vs. PnR action.
TAKE THE HAWKS (-140).
Against the spread
PASS since Atlanta’s money line is 28 cents on the dollar more expensive than the Hawks -2.5 (-112) and we don’t have to sweat Atlanta winning by a margin over a Brooklyn team that’s expected to compete for the NBA Finals.
Over/Under
Slight “LEAN” to the OVER 228.5 (-108) for a tiny wager if at all because I much prefer Atlanta’s money line more than any other bet in this game. That said, there’s a ton of firepower on both sides and three of the past four Nets-Hawks meetings have gone Over the total.
However, we are getting the worst of the number as this total opened at 224 (according to Pregame.com) and has been steamed up to the current price by all the pro-Over wagers.
I hate following the herd in sports betting, so I may not touch the total come game time. But, if I were to bet it, either way, it would be the OVER 228.5 (-108).
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