The Atlanta Hawks (9-8) host the Brooklyn Nets (11-8) Wednesday at State Farm Arena. Tip-off is set for 7:30 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze the Nets-Hawks NBA odds and lines, with picks and predictions.
It’s been an interesting couple of weeks for the Nets, who acquired G James Harden in a blockbuster trade while simultaneously dealing with the absence of PG Kyrie Irving. It hasn’t been profitable betting on the three-headed monster in Brooklyn as the Nets are just 2-4 against the spread since Harden joined the team.
Atlanta has beaten up on bad teams but is 4-1 straight up and ATS in its last five games, including a 108-99 win as a 6-point home favorite over the Los Angeles Clippers Tuesday.
The Hawks lost to the other three above-.500 opponents they’ve played in the past two weeks in the Utah Jazz, Portland Trail Blazers and Milwaukee Bucks.
These teams split their earlier meetings this season, but the Hawks covered the spread in both games. Brooklyn won the first meeting in a 145-141 shootout, then Atlanta hammered the Nets 114-96.
Nets at Hawks: Odds, spread and lines
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:25 p.m. ET.
- Money line: Nets -280 (bet $280 to win $100) | Hawks +220 (bet $100 to win $220)
- Against the spread/ATS: Nets -6.5 (-110) | Hawks +6.5 (-110)
- Over/Under: 238.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
Nets at Hawks: Key injuries
Nets
- SG Spencer Dinwiddie (knee) out
Hawks
- SG Cam Reddish (Achilles) questionable
- SG Bogdan Bogdanovic (knee) out
- C Clint Capela (hand) questionable
- SF Danilo Gallinari (ankle) probable
- PG Rajon Rondo (ankle) questionable
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Nets at Hawks: Odds, lines, predictions and picks
Prediction
Nets 117, Hawks 106
Money line (ML)
PASS.
Against the spread (ATS)
Since the beginning of last season, Atlanta has been the worst bet when playing on no rest: The Hawks are an NBA-worst 3-11 ATS with a minus-10.6 ATS margin in the second half of back-to-backs.
This is major because while Atlanta has a relatively clean injury report at the moment, they’ve battled injuries all season with key contributors at less than full health.
Also, Brooklyn has to be motivated by getting crushed in its last game against Atlanta. Now that The Beard has joined forces with Irving and SF Kevin Durant, this game will go differently.
GIMME NETS -6.5 (-110) for 1 unit.
Over/Under (O/U)
Brooklyn’s 98-85 victory over the Miami Heat in its last game broke a 12-game Over streak. The Nets have the second-highest Over percentage in the league whereas the Hawks have the highest Under percentage.
Atlanta is going to be pumped for this rubber match so I’m disregarding any of that “tired legs from playing the night prior” talk. The Hawks will at least try to D up the Nets.
Despite liking the Nets side, I lean UNDER 238.5 (-110) for a half-unit because this is too high of a projected total for how reliant Brooklyn is on three guys.
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Also see:
- Irving pays homage to Bryant before game vs. Heat (Nets Wire)
- Hoops Hype rumors: Nets | Hawks
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