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The Denver Broncos (3-6) return from their bye week and travel to US Bank Stadium to play the Minnesota Vikings (7-3) at 1 p.m. ET Sunday.
Denver at Minnesota: Week 11 preview, betting trends and notes
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- Vikings running back Dalvin Cook leads the NFL in touches (243), rushing attempts (203), rushing yards (991) and yards from scrimmage (1,415) this season. But Denver has allowed just 74 rushing yards a game in its last five games.
- Denver is 4-1 against the spread in its last five games.
- Minnesota is 5-4 ATS this season.
- The Broncos are 7-2 ATS in their last nine games following a bye week.
- Denver has scored 16 or fewer points in three of its four road losses, against Indianapolis (13), Green Bay (16) and Oakland (16).
- Minnesota is 4-0 at home this season, winning each game by double digits and beating opponents by an average final score of 30-14.
Denver at Minnesota: Key injuries
Minnesota could be without four of its starters. WR Adam Thielen (hamstring), G Josh Kline (concussion) and DT Linval Joseph (knee) have yet to practice this week, while S Anthony Harris (groin) was limited in practice Wednesday was held out completely Thursday. The only Bronco who hasn’t practiced is CB Bryce Callahan (foot).
Denver at Minnesota: Odds, betting lines and prediction
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday, Nov. 14 at 6:30 p.m. ET.
Prediction
Minnesota 27, Denver 10
Moneyline (?)
This is more like a college moneyline than an NFL line. Minnesota (-556) is a prohibitive favorite, while Denver (+410) bettors are being given a lot of enticement to bet on them. As with most lopsided college moneylines, the best option here is to skip it entirely because the payback for bets on the Vikings are just too small. AVOID THIS.
New to sports betting? A $10 wager on the Vikings to win would return a profit of just $1.80.
Against the Spread (?)
Minnesota is a 10.5-point favorite on a line that is -110 for both Minnesota and Denver — which should get a lot of action on both sides. Minnesota has been as dominant as any team at home and the deafening noise will make it difficult for Denver’s young QB Brandon Allen (making his second start) to change calls at the line of scrimmage. Minnesota has won all four of its home games by 10 or more points. LAY THE POINTS.
Over/Under (?)
This is a tough one because the O/U is very low at 39.5 points (-121 for the over, 100 for the under). The Vikings are averaging 30 points a game at home by themselves, so we don’t feel as strongly about this one as the Vikings covering the point spread. But, in getting even money and betting that Minnesota will shut down Denver’s offense and kill the clock with its dominant run game, we suggest taking the under (but not by much because one defensive/special teams score or a garbage-time TD late could easily put this game over).
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