The Bowling Green Falcons (5-5, 4-2 MAC) meet the Toledo Rockets (7-3, 5-1) Tuesday at Glass Bowl. Kickoff is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET (ESPNU). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Bowling Green vs. Toledo odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.
Bowling Green suffered a crippling 40-6 loss Wednesday against Kent State, and it no longer controls its own destiny in the East Division. The Falcons are a game back of Ohio, although they get a crack at the Bobcats on Nov. 22. The good news for the Falcons is that they have won both conference road games so far.
The Rockets have won 2 games in a row, and 5 of the past 6 games overall. Toledo has already clinched the West Division title, and a spot in the MAC Championship Game in Detroit in early Dec. Technically, it’s possible these teams could face each other again then.
The Rockets lead this all-time series 42-40-4, including 11 of the past 12 in the Battle of I-75. Bowling Green’s last victory in the series was Oct. 12, 2019, and its most recent win in Toledo came on Nov. 28, 2008.
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Bowling Green at Toledo odds
Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:33 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Bowling Green +525 (bet $100 to win $525) | Toledo -750 (bet $750 to win $100)
- Against the spread: Bowling Green +14.5 (-109) | Toledo -14.5 (-111)
- Over/Under (O/U): 50 (O: -111 | U: -109)
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Bowling Green at Toledo picks and predictions
Prediction
Toledo 31, Bowling Green 23
Moneyline
Toledo (-750) will cost you more than 7 times your potential return, and that’s risky busy in a rivalry game. In addition, the Rockets already have a spot locked up in the MAC title game, so it remains to be seen how hungry they are. Meanwhile, Bowling Green still has plenty to play for, including needing one more win for bowl eligibility, with an outside chance of locking up the East Division.
PASS.
Against the spread
BOWLING GREEN +14.5 (-109) is rather attractive catching more than 2 touchdowns, although it’s been rather lopsided in this series lately with Toledo winning by at least 32 points in each of the past 2 meetings.
So, there is some risk here in taking the Falcons. However, as mentioned above, Bowling Green still has a lot to play for, in addition to the pride of a rivalry game, while Toledo is simply working to play spoiler here, with a spot locked up in the MAC title game. How hungry will the Rockets be, and is there a chance some key players are rested or held back so injuries do not occur? That’s also a real possibility.
Over/Under
OVER 50 (-111) is the play here.
The Over has cashed in 4 contests in a row on the road for Bowling Green and has hit in 6 of the team’s past 8 appearances on a Tuesday night.
The Over has cashed in 7 of the past 10 games inside the conference for Toledo, while going 9-1 in the past 10 games following a straight-up win.
There is some risk here, however, as the Under is 11-4 in the past 15 meetings in this rivalry, with the Under is 5-2 in the past 7 battles in Toledo.
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