The Bowling Green Falcons (3-7, 1-5 MAC) and Miami-Ohio Redhawks (5-5, 4-2) meet for a Tuesday 8 p.m. ET game at Yager Stadium in Oxford, Ohio. Below, we look at the Bowling Green vs. Miami odds and lines, and make our expert college football picks, predictions and bets.
Bowling Green was thumped by Toledo last week 49-17. The Falcons have lost five of their last six games, and defense has been a problem during that stretch. BGSU has coughed up 148 points over its last three games. For the season, the Falcons rank 107th in the nation, allowing 32.4 points per game.
Miami is coming off a 45-18 win over Buffalo. Defense has been a strength for MU. The Redhawks rank second in the MAC in scoring defense (23.1 PPG). The Miami offense has been inconsistent, but with a strong passing game leading the way, it has racked up 1,105 total yards over the last two weeks. MU is 3-1 over its last four games and is 4-0 this season at home.
Rankings courtesy of the AFCA Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.
Bowling Green at Miami odds, spread and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:51 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Bowling Green +550 (bet $100 to win $550) | Miami -850 (bet $850 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Bowling Green +16.5 (-107) | Miami -16.5 (-115)
- Over/Under (O/U): 51.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Bowling Green at Miami odds, lines, picks and predictions
Prediction
Miami 38, Bowling Green 20
Money line
Miami would be the lean in the neighborhood of -700, which equates to an 87.7% win expectancy. But on this tag, let’s PASS and look to leverage the Redhawks minus the points.
Against the spread
Miami’s offense is a Tale of Two Cities … or of two small college towns in Southwest Ohio. The Redhawks have been a significantly better offense with QB Brett Gabbert. The sophomore signal caller missed two games in mid-October, and both resulted in ATS losses for Miami. Despite the missed action, Gabbert has thrown 18 touchdown passes against just 3 interceptions this season. He’s thrown for 843 yards over the last two weeks under the lights in mid-week “MACtion” contests.
MU hasn’t really thumped teams that often. Its 45-18 win last week was its only MAC game with a margin of more than 15 points. But look for Miami to find more success than usual in running the football, and peg the MU defense — one adept at creating havoc — as pressuring the Falcons into three or four turnovers.
BACK MIAMI -16.5 (-115).
Over/Under
The Over is 4-1 in the last five BG-MU games. Plus, the Falcons head into Tuesday night having played in five straight Overs this season.
Bowling Green’s offense has been really bad as a whole (outside the top 100 in yards and points), but it has been a slightly improved unit in under-the-surface ways in recent weeks.
On a decent-weather night in Oxford, look for the potential of a spiraling back-and-forth for enough of the contest to make the OVER 51.5 (-110) worth at least a partial-unit play.
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