The Boston Red Sox (3-5) and New York Yankees (5-1) continue their weekend series at Yankee Stadium with the middle game of a three-game set Saturday at 7:07 p.m. ET (on FOX). We analyze the Red Sox-Yankees MLB betting odds and lines, with picks and best bets.
Friday: RF Aaron Judge homered for a third consecutive game, while SP Jordan Montgomery and three Yankees relievers limited the Red Sox to five hits in a 5-1 victory, New York’s fourth win in a row.
Red Sox at Yankees: Projected starting pitchers
RHP Zack Godley vs. RHP Masahiro Tanaka
After 15 consecutive relief appearances, Godley (0-0, 0.00 ERA, 4 IP) will make his first start since June 22, 2019, when he was with the Arizona Diamondbacks. It’s unclear if he will be used as an “opener” or traditional starter. It all depends on his performance.
- 2020: One game, making Red Sox debut Monday with four scoreless innings, while striking out seven New York Mets
- 2019: 4-5, 5.97 ERA in 33 games (9 starts) combined for Arizona and the Toronto Blue Jays
- Career vs. Yankees: 0-0, 9.00 ERA (3 ER, 3 IP) in one relief outing last season
Tanaka is set for his 2020 debut. The veteran started the season on the injured list after taking a liner to the head off the bat of DH/OF Giancarlo Stanton during a Yankees preseason workout July 4.
- 2019: 11-9, 4.45 ERA in 32 games (31 starts)
- 2019 vs. Red Sox: 0-1, 24.75 ERA (22 ER, 8 IP) in 3 starts
- Career vs. Red Sox: 8-5, 5.76 ERA (74 ER, 115 2/3 IP) in 21 starts
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Red Sox at Yankees: Key injuries
(List of injuries around the league)
Red Sox
- RP Darwinzon Hernandez (COVID-19) out
- 1B Mitch Moreland (leg) questionable
- RP Josh Taylor (COVID-19) out
Yankees
- RP Aroldis Chapman (COVID-19 recovery) cleared, but doubtful
- RP Luis Cessa (COVID-19) out
- RP Tommy Kahnle (forearm) out
Also see: BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball
Red Sox at Yankees: Odds, lines, picks and betting tips
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 7:30 a.m. ET.
Prediction
Red Sox 7, Yankees 5
Moneyline (ML)
The RED SOX (+170) are the STRONGEST PLAY vs. the Yankees (-189).
As mentioned above, Boston had Tanaka’s number last season. While OF Mookie Betts – a career .354 batting average with 2 home runs vs. Tanaka – is now in LA with the Dodgers, several current Red Sox have also fared well vs. the Yankees hurler.
| RED SOX BATTER | CAREER VS. TANAKA |
| 3B Rafael Devers | .467 (7-for-15), 1 HR, 2 RBI |
| DH J.D. Martinez | .348 (8-for-23), 3 HR, 8 RBI |
| OF Andrew Benintendi | .310 (9-for-29), 2 HR, 2 RBI |
| SS Xander Bogaerts | .302 (13-for-43), 2 HR, 7 RBI |
| 1B Mitch Moreland | .296 (8-for-27), 2 HR, 7 RBI |
Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
It’s hard to believe, but the Red Sox (+1.5, -121) and Yankees (-1.5, +100) haven’t played a one-run game in their last 25 head-to-head meetings. I’m still PASSING since I’m betting the Boston ML.
Over/Under (O/U)
OVER 10 (-110) is the play. All three of Tanaka’s starts vs. Boston went Over last season. Throw out a 2018 playoff game – which Tanaka won at Fenway Park – and the O/U is 6-0-1 in his last seven outings vs. the Red Sox.
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| Johnny’s 2020 MLB record | 10-5 |
| 2020 overall record | 44-29-1 |
| Strongest plays | 25-12 |
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