The Boston Red Sox (9-18) and Baltimore Orioles (12-14) square off again Saturday at Camden Yards with a 7:35 p.m. ET first pitch. We analyze the Red Sox-Orioles MLB betting odds and lines, with betting advice and tips around the matchup.
Red Sox at Orioles: Projected starting pitchers
LHP Martin Perez vs. RHP Alex Cobb
The southpaw Perez is a subpar 2-3 with a 4.07 ERA and 1.27 WHIP while issuing 14 walks with 17 strikeouts across 24 1/3 innings in five starts.
- The Venezuelan was on the receiving end of a 7-2 beating from the O’s on July 25 at Fenway Park, coughing up five runs – four earned – and six hits in just five innings.
- Perez has factored into the decision in each of his five outings, including losses in each of his past two.
Cobb has posted a 1-2 record, 3.76 ERA, 1.14 WHIP and 21 strikeouts across 26 1/3 innings over five starts.
- Arguably Cobb’s best start of the season came July 25 in Boston, allowing just one solo home run, four hits and no walks with six strikeouts across 5 1/3 innings in a 7-2 victory.
- Cobb is still searching for his first quality start of the season, and he hadn’t pitched more than 5 1/3 innings until his outing Monday against the Blue Jays when he worked 6 2/3 frames.
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Red Sox at Orioles: Key injuries
(List of injuries around the league)
Red Sox
- OF Andrew Benintendi (ribs) out
- 2B Dustin Pedroia (knee) out
- RP Eduardo Rodriguez (COVID-19/heart) out
Orioles
- 1B Chris Davis (knee) out
- OF Trey Mancini (illness/non-COVID) out
- SS José Iglesias (quad) out
- CF Austin Hays (ribs) out
Red Sox at Orioles: Odds, lines, picks and betting tips
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated Saturday at 11:10 a.m. ET.
Prediction
Red Sox 8, Orioles 6
Moneyline (ML)
The RED SOX (-112) have posted three straight victories, which wouldn’t be news in recent seasons, but this year it is their longest streak of success yet. They have humped up on the Orioles (+100) the past two nights, outscoring the Birds 15-6. They’ll continue the conga line around the bases Saturday.
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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
Each of Boston’s wins during their streak has been by three or more runs, so back the RED SOX (-1.5, +125) at plus-money if you like them. In fact, each of their previous seven wins has been by two or more runs.
Over/Under (O/U)
OVER 10 (-110) is the way to be here. The BoSox are averaging 6.8 runs per game across the past four, and this pitching staff still ranks 29th in the majors with a 5.97 ERA and last with a 1.58 WHIP. The Orioles aren’t much better, posting 4.99 ERA, good for 21nd in the league.
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