The Boston Red Sox (7-18) visit the Baltimore Orioles (12-12) for a four-game series, starting with Thursday’s 7:35 p.m. ET opener at Oriole Park at Camden Yards. We analyze the Red Sox-Orioles MLB betting odds and lines, with picks and best bets.
Wednesday: The Red Sox snapped a nine-game skid with a 6-3 home win vs. the Philadelphia Phillies. The Orioles lost 5-2 to the Toronto Blue Jays for a fourth consecutive defeat, capping a 1-5 homestand.
Red Sox at Orioles: Projected starting pitchers
RHP Nathan Eovaldi vs. RHP Asher Wojciechowski
Eovaldi this season: 1-2, 5.93 ERA (18 ER, 27 1/3 IP) in 5 starts
- Last start: Loss, 5 1/3 IP, 8 ER, 9 H, 2 BB, 3 K at New York Yankees Saturday – Red Sox lost 11-5
- 2020 vs. Orioles: 1-0, 1.50 ERA (1 ER, 6 IP) 1 BB, 4 K in 1 start
- Career vs. Orioles: 4-1, 5.10 ERA (27 ER, 47 2/3 IP) in 10 starts
Wojciechowski this season: 1-2, 4.34 ERA (9 ER, 18 2/3 IP) in 4 starts
- Last start: Win, 5 IP, 3 ER, 5 H, 1 BB, 2 K vs. Washington Nationals Saturday – Orioles won 7-3
- Career vs. Red Sox: 2-1, 0.92 ERA (2 ER, 19 2/3 IP) in 3 starts and 1 relief appearance – all last season, excluding 2 scoreless relief innings in 2017
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Red Sox at Orioles: Key injuries
(Get the latest injury news here.)
Red Sox
- LF Andrew Benintendi (ribs) out
- RP Darwinzon Hernandez (COVID-19 recovery) questionable
- RF/DH J.D. Martinez (dehydration) probable
- 2B Dustin Pedroia (knee) out
Orioles
- CF Austin Hayes (ribs) out
- SS Jose Iglesias (quadriceps) out
Also see: BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball
Red Sox at Orioles: Odds, lines, picks and betting tips
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 11:10 a.m. ET.
Prediction
Orioles 4, Red Sox 2
Moneyline (ML)
With both clubs slumping and no true edge in the pitching matchup, the value is in the dog. Back the ORIOLES (+135) with a small-unit wager.
Eovaldi is 0-2 on the road for the Red Sox (-150) so far in 2020, yielding 14 runs in 15 1/3 innings (8.22 ERA). Wojciechowski has struggled in three home starts, going 1-2 after allowing 9 ER in 15 innings (5.40 ERA), thus the small wager.
New to sports betting? Every winning $1 bet on the Orioles ML will profit $1.35. A $1 winning bet on the Red Sox profits $0.67. (Small-unit wagers should be half your usual bet).
Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
The ORIOLES +1.5 (-121) are the play here, too. They’re a decent RL team, ranking third in the majors and second in the AL with a 15-9 RL record. The Red Sox (-1.5, +100) are on the other side of the spectrum, ranking 29th in the league and 14th in the AL with an 8-18 RL mark.
Plus, Baltimore is 10-3 vs. the RL in its last 13 games, while Boston is 1-9 in its last 10.
Over/Under (O/U)
The UNDER 9.5 (-106) is also worth backing. The Orioles have averaged 4.3 runs per game during the first six games of their current 10-game homestand. The Red Sox are averaging 4.2 runs per game in their last six. Though wait on this one and see if the line climbs to 10.
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| Johnny’s 2020 MLB record | 31-14-1 |
| 2020 overall record | 71-40-2 |
| Strongest plays | 37-16 |
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