Borussia Dortmund (22 wins, 7 losses, 4 draws) welcomes Mainz (12-12-9) to Signal Iduna Park Saturday. Kickoff for the regular-season finale is set for 9:30 a.m. ET (ESPN+). Below, we preview BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Borussia Dortmund vs. Mainz odds, and make our best soccer bets, picks and predictions.
Dortmund (70 points) — which sits atop the Bundesliga table, leading Bayern Munich by 2 points — is coming off a 3-0 road victory vs. Augsburg last weekend. The Black and Yellows are 5-0-2 in their last 7 games and haven’t lost a league game since April 1. They are led by F Julian Brandt, who has 9 goals and 8 assists in 31 matches. F Donyell Malen and F Sebastien Haller also have 9 goals apiece, tied with Brandt for the team lead. With a win, Dortmund, which is 14-1-1 at home this season, will claim the Bundesliga title.
Mainz sits 9th on the table and is just 6-7-3 on the road. It is coming off a 4-1 loss to Stuttgart Sunday and has lost 4 straight games. It has been outscored 13-3 during the skid. F Marcus Ingvartsen leads the club with 10 goals in 27 matches.
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Borussia Dortmund vs. Mainz odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:42 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline: Borussia Dortmund -550 (bet $550 to win $100) | Mainz +1050 (bet $100 to win $1,050) | Draw +775
- Over/Under: 4.5 (O: +110 | U: -155)
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Borussia Dortmund vs. Mainz picks and predictions
Prediction
Borussia Dortmund 3, Mainz 0
Moneyline (ML)
PASS.
Borussia Dortmund is at home where it has virtually been unbeatable.
On top of that, Dortmund is playing for the Bundesliga title. There will be no holding back from the No. 1 team in the league, but the -550 ML price is way too costly. There is no value to risk 5.5 times for a potential return on the home side.
Over/Under (O/U)
BET UNDER ALTERNATE 3.5 (+140).
Mainz has gone Under this total in 7 of its last 11 games. Its defense, which has allowed 1.61 goals per game this season, held its opponent to 0 or 1 goal in 6 of those. The offense, which averages 1.58 goals per game, has only scored multiple times in 4 of them. Overall, Mainz hasn’t played that many high-scoring battles lately.
Dortmund, on the other hand, has gone Under in 2 of its last 4 and has held its opponent scoreless in 3 of its last 5 games. It has allowed just 3 goals in its last 5 matches. Dortmund has scored more than 3 goals in 4 of its last 12. It does have a dynamic offense, but one should expect a good defensive effort with the title on the line.
Ultimately, TAKE UNDER 3.5 (+140).
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