Borussia Dortmund (5 wins, 3 losses, 0 draws) welcomes Bayern Munich (4-1-3) to Signal Iduna Park Saturday. Kickoff is set for 12:30 p.m. ET. Below, we preview Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Borussia Dortmund vs. Bayern Munich odds, and make our best Bundesliga bets, picks and predictions.
Both clubs, which typically sit atop the German league, had offseasons that changed the outlook of each drastically.
Bayern Munich lost F Robert Lewandowski who went to Barcelona. They did add F Sadio Mane from Liverpool, who has made an immediate impact. Borussia Dortmund’s main transaction was the loss of F Erling Haaland who is now with Manchester City.
Dortmund has still found success and sits at 15 points, same as Bayern. Both sit 3rd on the Bundesliga table. Dortmund has scored 11 goals (captain M Marco Reus is tied for the team-high with 2) and has allowed 10.
Bayern has been its usual dominant self, but it hasn’t been able to turn those into wins consistently. It has a league-best 23 goals and is tied for a league-low 6 goals allowed. However, it has just 4 wins in 8 matches.
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Borussia Dortmund vs. Bayern Munich odds
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 10:29 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline: Borussia Dortmund +340 (bet $100 to win $340) | Bayern Munich -155 (bet $155 to win $100) | Draw +360
- Over/Under: 3.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Prediction
Bayern Munich 2, Borussia Dortmund 1
Moneyline (ML)
PASS.
Bayern is the best team in the league whether or not it has necessarily got the results.
However, on the road, at this value, I would pass on the moneyline of -150. It just isn’t good enough as Bayern clearly is still trying to figure out how to close out matches. It is just 2-1-1 on the road this season.
Dortmund, on the other hand, has lost just once at home and won 3 times. If there is a play on the moneyline it is for Dortmund to win outright, but I’d rather look to the total for value.
Over/Under (O/U)
BET UNDER 3.5 (-110).
Both games between these 2 clubs finished 3-1 in favor of Bayern last year, but both teams also lost their leading scorer. The turnover has weighed heavily on Dortmund.
They’ve averaging just 1.38 goals per game and are taking on one of the best defenses in the league.
However, Bayern has also struggled offensively. In 2 games, they scored 13 goals, but Bayern has had 2 or fewer in 5 of 8 league games.
Also, throughout all competitions, Bayern has 7 clean sheets in 13 appearances. They held even Barcelona to 0 in a Champions League battle.
Given Bayern’s defense and both teams’ offensive struggles, I’d play the UNDER 3.5 (-110).
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