The Boise State Broncos (18-5, 8-2 Mountain West) look to take hold of the Mountain West Conference against the San Diego State Aztecs (17-5, 8-2) Friday. Tip from Viejas Arena is at 9 p.m. ET (FS1). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Boise State vs. San Diego State odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.
The Aztecs find themselves tied with the Broncos for the top spot in the Mountain West Conference after a 75-66 loss as 2.5-point favorites at Nevada Tuesday,
The biggest key in this one will be the matchup between San Diego State’s 104th-ranked scoring offense (75.0 points per game) and Boise State’s 12th-ranked scoring defense (60.7 points allowed per game). San Diego State should have a solid chance to win this key matchup if it can get back on track offensively after a slightly lower output Tuesday. Boise State will gain an important road victory in conference play if it can hold down another opponent.
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Boise State at San Diego State odds
Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:44 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Boise State +200 (bet $100 to win $200) | San Diego State -260 (bet $260 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Boise State +5.5 (-105) | San Diego State -5.5 (-115)
- Over/Under (O/U): 134.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Boise State at San Diego State picks and predictions
Prediction
Boise State 70, San Diego State 67
Moneyline
BET BOISE STATE (+200).
The Broncos come in on a 3-game win streak while San Diego State is coming off a 9-point loss at Nevada Tuesday.
The Aztecs will play better on their home court but the Broncos will be able to come in and gain the outright victory.
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Against the spread
PASS.
However, if you’re not comfortable with the moneyline you could take the Broncos +5.5 (-105). This is too many points in a matchup between the top 2 teams in the MWC. The Broncos have a 4-0 ATS record in their last 4 games against teams with a win percentage over .600.
Over/Under
OVER 134.5 (-110) is the play on the total.
Boise State is 8-2 O/U in its last 10 games despite that it has the 12th-ranked scoring defense in the nation. The Broncos have hit the Over in 6 of their last 7 coming off a win and 6 in a row against teams with a win percentage above .600.
The Aztecs have gone over the total in 6 straight games after a loss and have also gone Over the total in 5 of their last 6 home games against teams with a winning road record.
All the hallmarks are here for an Over and the 134.5 is just too low. I would take this game Over as long as it stays under 137.
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