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The 22nd-ranked Boise State Broncos (4-1, 1-0 Mountain West) meet the Hawaii Rainbow Warriors (2-3, 0-1) Saturday at the Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex in Honolulu. Kickoff in the Mountain West Conference game is scheduled for 11 p.m. ET (CBS Sports Network). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s college football odds around the Boise State vs. Hawaii odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.
The Broncos head for the islands, and Heisman hopeful RB Ashton Jeanty looks to add to his impressive totals. Jeanty has rolled up 1,031 rushing yards, 10.9 yards per rushing attempt and 16 TDs in just 5 games so far.
Boise State has scored 34 or more in all 5 games, and it has managed 45 or more points in 4 of the outings. The Broncos are 3-1 against the spread (ATS) in the past 4 games, while cashing the Over in all 5 outings.
The Rainbow Warriors suffered a 27-24 loss at San Diego State last Saturday, but it was a season high for offensive production against an FBS opponent. The Over (48) cashed for the 1st time in 5 games. Hawaii failed to cover as a 1-point ‘dog against the Aztecs, and it is just 2-3 ATS in 5 games, including 2-1 ATS at home.
– Rankings: US LBM Coaches Poll, conducted by the American Football Coaches Association and USA TODAY Sports
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Boise State at Hawaii odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of college football odds. Lines last updated at 10:55 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Boise State -1600 (bet $1,600 to win $100) | Hawaii +875 (bet $100 to win $875)
- Against the spread: Boise State -21 (-110) | Hawaii +21 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 60.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)
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Boise State at Hawaii picks and predictions
Prediction
Boise State 45, Hawaii 27
Moneyline
Boise State (-1600) will set you back 16 times your potential return, and that’s way too much risk for not nearly enough reward. There is never a reason to bet a favorite this high, whether as a standalone play or as part of a multi-leg parlay.
AVOID.
Against the spread
HAWAII +21 (-110) is worth playing with the points.
Boise State -21 (-110) should be avoided, as Jeanty might actually have a hard time against Hawaii for a while. He has shown, though, that even when bottled up, he has the potential to take it to the house anytime he touches the ball. Backing Hawaii will have bettors holding their breath every time Boise is on offense.
Hawaii doesn’t have the horses to compete on the ground. However, it got the offense going against San Diego State, as QB Brayden Schager threw for 272 yards and 3 TDs. Boise State actually allows 278.8 passing yards per game, ranking 124th in FBS.
Over/Under
OVER 59.5 (-110) may be the best play in this battle in the islands.
Boise State has cashed high on the total in all 5 games to date. It dropped 62 points on Utah State last weekend, and it has 45 or more points in 4 games, and 56 or more points on 3 occasions.
While Hawaii has hit low in 4 of 5 games, it cashed the Over last time out at San Diego State. With Schager slinging it, and Boise State’s pass defense fairly leaky, we should see plenty of points in the final game of Saturday.
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