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The Texas Rangers and Arizona Diamondbacks meet Tuesday for Game 4 of the World Series. First pitch at Chase Bank Field in Phoenix is slated for 8:03 p.m. ET (FOX). After taking a look at FanDuel Sportsbook’s MLB odds, here are the 4 best World Series Game 4 prop bets to cash in on among SportbookWire’s MLB picks and predictions.
Best-of-7 series: Rangers lead 2-1
The Rangers registered a 3-1 triumph Monday night to take a 2-1 series lead. Both bullpens were heavily involved in trying to take the all-important momentum game, an odd-numbered game in a tied series. And on Tuesday, both sides will essentially look to bullpen their way through most of the available outs. That figures to color how Game 4 sets up for prop bets.
The scheduled Game 4 starters are LHP Andrew Heaney for Texas and LHP Joe Mantiply for Arizona.
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World Series Game 4 prop bet predictions
Odds provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:36 a.m. ET.
OF Corbin Carroll record 2+ total bases (-115)
With the lefty Heaney starting, some bettors may shy away from Carroll, who during the regular season clocked a .721 OPS against port-siders (vs. a .928 OPS against righties). But the odds-on NL Rookie of the Year is batting .281 with a double, a triple and 2 home runs in these playoffs.
He fares well in his home park (.902 OPS regular season) and bats high in the order where he’s more likely to get an extra look. Carroll is 1-for-1 lifetime against Heaney. As this game develops, the Ranger bullpen becomes key. That’s a fly-ball leaning group, and the Arizona center fielder hit fly-ball types quite well in the regular season (.828 OPS).
7th inning OVER 0.5 runs (-110)
This contest has a fade lean on both bullpens. With surface ERAs of 2.85 (Arizona) and 3.68 (Texas), both clubs are too far out over their skis. Both have benefited from generous rates around the margins and are toting around significantly higher expected-ERA numbers.
Look to leverage quality hitting on both sides that have now seen most of the relief hurlers once. Consider this play on scoring in the 7th or the Over 0.5 (-114) in the 8th or both.
DH Mitch Garver record 2+ total bases (+130)
Garver is a batter with some leverage in this one. The right-handed batter is just 1-for-11 in the Series, but his 1 hit was a home run in Game 2 and he had a 3-hit performance in ALCS Game 6.
Garver slashed a .270/.370/.500 in the regular season. He owns an .822 OPS in the postseason, and that’s with a .235 batting average on balls in play.
1B Nathaniel Lowe record 2+ total bases (+120)
Game 4 figures to be played out by the bullpens. The 1 sector of leverage that really pops in the bullpen splits is the performance of Arizona relievers vs. lefty batters. That’s part of Arizona’s strategy in utilizing a southpaw — Mantiply — as the opener: trying to lessen the impact on Ranger lefty bats.
During the regular season, Diamondback relievers allowed a .304 weighted on-base average (FanGraphs) against right-handed bats but a .327 wOBA against lefty bats.
Looking at lefties with some value in the Texas order brings us to Lowe, who has hit just .203 in the postseason. But the Rangers 1B does have 3 home runs. Since 2021, he’s clocked an .823 OPS in road games.
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