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Week 5 is here and that means another new slate of games to bet on and time to find some good underdog values.
In Week 4, there were only 3 outright underdogs winners, based on the closing lines. Another 2 underdogs covered the spread.
Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook NFL odds and lines, and tab the best NFL Week 5 underdog bets to cash in on among SportbookWire’s NFL expert picks and predictions.
Two of my underdog picks last week ended up not being underdogs by the time the games rolled around. The Arizona Cardinals failed to pick up the backdoor cover as 14.5-point dogs in the final minutes against San Francisco, losing by 19 instead of 12. The Los Angeles Rams beat the Indianapolis Colts in overtime, while the Seattle Seahawks demolished the New York Giants.
The Rams closed at -1 and the Seahawks closed at -2.5.
Officially, I went 2-1 in Week 4, improving my overall record to 8-4.
But on to Week 5.
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NFL underdog predictions: Week 5
Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 11:53 p.m. ET. All games Sunday and ET unless noted.
Bengals at CARDINALS (+135) – 4:05 p.m. (FOX)
This line suggests the betting public doesn’t really believe in either 1-3 team.
The Bengals have the higher-profile talent, but the Cardinals have been a tough opponent every week.
In 2 road games, the Bengals are 0-2, have scored a total of 6 points, have averaged 176.5 yards and have allowed an average of 375.0 yards, including 139.5 rushing yards per game.
The Cardinals have scored 28 points in each of their home games and rushed for 222 yards in their win over Dallas in Week 3. This is a bad matchup for a struggling Bengals team.
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TEXANS (+105) at Falcons – 1 p.m. (FOX)
Rookie QB C.J. Stroud has been very good with 1,212 passing yards and 6 touchdown passes in 4 games. The Texans have put up at least 30 points in their last 2 games. The defense has held opponents under 300 total yards twice in 4 games.
The Falcons have scored 13 points combined in their last 2 games and have not reached 300 total yards of offense in 3 of 4 games.
The Texans probably should be favored, so take advantage.
Bears +6.5 (-115) at Commanders – Thursday 8:15 p.m. (Prime Video)
Washington is touted as a tough defensive team, but it has allowed at least 33 points in each of their last 3 weeks. The Commanders allowed 365 passing yards or more twice in the last 3 weeks.
Chicago found its offense last week in a 31-28 loss to Denver as QB Justin Fields passed for 335 yards and 4 TDs.
This should be a shootout.
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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.
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