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Five underdogs covered the spread win Week 16 while 4 of those teams won their games outright. The New England Patriots covered the 14-point spread in a 24-21 loss at the Buffalo Bills, while the Carolina Panthers, (+5.5 in 36-30 OT win vs. Arizona Cardinals), Washington Commanders, (+4 in 36-33 win vs. Philadelphia Eagles), Dallas Cowboys (+4 in 26-24 win vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers) and Miami Dolphins (+2 in 29-27 win vs. San Francisco 49ers) all won their games straight up as home underdogs.
The Commanders were the only pick of our 3 last week to hit, as the New York Giants lost 34-7 at the Atlanta Falcons as 10-point underdogs — the line was +8.5 when we published this column last week — and the the New Orleans Saints were shut out 34-0 as 14.5-point underdogs at the Green Bay Paackers.
The 1-2 week drops us to 24-23-1 on the season. Let’s make that better in Week 17.
Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NFL odds, and tab the best NFL Week 17 underdog bets to cash in on among SportsbookWire’s NFL expert picks and predictions.
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NFL underdog predictions: Week 17
Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of NFL odds. Lines last updated Thursday at 11:56 a.m. ET. All games Sunday and ET unless noted.
BRONCOS (+140) at Bengals – Saturday 4:30 p.m. (NFL Network)
Of the Denver Broncos’ 6 losses this season, 5 have come to teams currently set to make the playoffs (LA Chargers twice, Kansas City Chiefs, Pittsburgh Steelers, Baltimore Ravens). They have won 4 of their last 5 games outright and are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games and 7-2 ATS in their last 9 contests.
The Bengals have won 3 in a row and have the faintest of playoff hopes, but those 3 wins have come against the Cowboys, Tennessee Titans and Cleveland Browns, who have a combined record of 13-32.
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PANTHERS +8 (-110) at Buccaneers – 1 p.m. (CBS)
In the Panthers’ 36-30 OT win vs. the Cardinals, QB Bryce Young threw 2 TD passes and rushed for another, while RB Chuba Hubbard earned NFC Offensive Player of the Week with 152 rushing yards and 2 scores. The Panthers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games.
The Bucs have won 4 of 5, but lost last week. They beat the Panthers by 3 on Dec. 1 in Charlotte (26-23).
The Bucs have won 5 straight over the Panthers, but the Panthers are 3-2 ATS in those games.
COWBOYS +8.5 (-110) at Eagles – 1 p.m. (FOX)
The Cowboys have won 4 of their last 5 games and that includes wins over Washington, who beat the Eagles last week, and the Bucs, battling for the NFC South title.
The Cowboys are 5-2 on the road this season and their 2 losses were by 6 points each. They have not yet covered the spread in a loss this season.
In the Eagles’ last 4 games, they have lost once and won by 6 points or fewer twice.
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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.
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