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The Detroit Tigers finished with a 78-84 record in 2023, which was a 12-win improvement on their 2022 mark (66-96). Their run differential also took a step forward, from -156 in 2022 to -79 last season.
The team made a few interesting moves over the winter, especially on the pitching side, as they added RHP Kenta Maeda and RHP Jack Flaherty. They also made a couple of under-the-radar moves, adding 3B Gio Urshela and OF Mark Canha. Let’s analyze the Detroit Tigers World Series odds, along with their projected win total, playoff, division and AL odds as we make our expert MLB picks and predictions.
Detroit Tigers World Series odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Sunday, March 24, at 11:53 p.m. ET.
Odds: +6600 (bet $100 to win $6,600)
Detroit is tied with Cleveland and Boston for the 10th longest odds to win it all in 2024. At +6600, the implied win probability for the Tigers is 1.49%.
Just 4 AL teams have longer odds to win the World Series — the Kansas City Royals (+15000), Los Angeles Angels (+20000), Chicago White Sox (+50000), and Oakland Athletics (+50000).
Though the Tigers made strides in 2023, they have a long way to go to compete for a World Series title. PASS on this line.
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Detroit Tigers playoff odds
Will they make the playoffs: Yes +180 | No -225
LHP Tarik Skubal gives the team a solid arm at the top of the rotation, though it remains to be seen how heavy of a workload he can handle. There are health and/or performance questions throughout the rest of the rotation and getting over the hump and into the playoffs will be a tall task. Realistically, they are probably a couple years away from October baseball. Bet NO -225 on Detroit making the playoffs.
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Detroit Tigers win total
Over/Under: 81.5 (O: +100 | U: -120)
The Detroit offense was woeful in 2023, as the 661 runs they scored ranked 3rd-worst in the majors. There is some young talent on hand, with 2B Colt Keith set to debut, and OF Parker Meadows, OF Riley Greene, and 1B Spencer Torkelson are each capable of making a significant impact.
The team is likely to score more runs in 2024, but this offense will still be well below average. Odds are, they will fall short of a .500 record, so side with UNDER 81.5 (-120).
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To win AL Central Division
- Minnesota Twins -125 (bet $100 to win $125)
- Detroit Tigers +350 (bet $100 to win $350)
- Cleveland Guardians +375 (bet $100 to win $375)
- Kansas City Royals +900 (bet $100 to win $900)
- Chicago White Sox +5000 (bet $100 to win $5,000)
Minnesota won 87 games in 2023, finishing 9 games ahead of the 2nd-place Tigers in the division and 11 games clear of Cleveland. The Twins look like the team to beat once again. If anyone makes a run at the division, it is just as likely to be Cleveland as Detroit, given the upside in the Guardian rotation.
Detroit’s implied probability of winning the AL Central is 22.22%. It’s not out of the question that Detroit wins this weak division, but there’s just not enough value here so PASS.
To win American League
Odds: +2500 (bet $100 to win $2,500)
The organization is blessed with a lot of young talent, including the position players listed above and RHP Jackson Jobe, one of the top pitching prospects in the game. There are also some veterans on the roster who could surprise with a rebound season, including Flaherty, SS Javier Báez, and to a lesser extent, C Carson Kelly.
However, this is a team with a long streak of losing seasons, and a lot would have to go right for Detroit to turn into contenders this season. Even with the high odds, it is best to look for other long shots to invest in. PASS.
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