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The Boston Red Sox struggled last season and failed to meet expectations while missing the playoffs. They finished 78-84, and their road record was the same as their record at home (39-42). They finished 5th in the AL East and were the only team in the division with a losing record.
Veteran 3B Rafael Devers led the Red Sox offense with 33 home runs, 100 runs batted in, and 157 hits while up-and-coming rookie LF Masataka Yoshida led the team with a .289 batting average that ranked him 16th best in MLB. Boston saw a major increase in SP Brayan Bello‘s production in his 2nd year in the league, with his win count jumping from just 2 in his rookie season to 12 last year to lead the team. Let’s analyze the Boston Red Sox’ World Series odds, along with their projected win total, playoff, division and AL odds as we make our expert MLB picks and predictions.
Boston Red Sox World Series odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Monday, March 25 at 10:50 a.m. ET.
Odds: +6600 (bet $100 to win $6600)
Boston is tied for the 19th-shortest odds to win it all with the Cleveland Guardians. The Los Angeles Dodgers (+350) are favorites to win it all, followed by the Atlanta Braves (+450), the Houston Astros (+800), and the New York Yankees (+900).
At +6600, Boston has an implied probability of winning the World Series of 1.49% or 66/1 fractional odds. While the Red Sox made some trades and off-season acquisitions, like moving LHP Chris Sale to Atlanta for INF Vaughn Grissom, they were not involved in any blockbuster deals that would greatly increase their results from last season. For that reason, PASS on the Sox taking it all this year.
The Oakland Athletics, Colorado Rockies, and Chicago White Sox are all tied for the longest odds at +50000.
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Boston Red Sox playoff odds
Will they make the playoffs: Yes +260 | No -350
While the Red Sox have not made any monumental moves on the field, they have made changes to their front office that could impact their play. They hired a new chief baseball officer Craig Breslow, who was a World Series champion and former Chicago Cubs assistant GM. Whether his impact will be immediate or over the course of a season or 2, it is clear Boston is trending in the right direction.
With Boston making minimal offseason moves on the field after finishing last in its division, however, it may only be worth a small margin to sprinkle them getting into the playoffs.
Make a small wager on YES (+260).
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Boston Red Sox win total
Over/Under: 75.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)
With the rest of the division getting better and the Red Sox making minimal traction, they rightfully have a low projected win total. Boston is in a rebuilding phase and looking how to get better long-term, which will impact their 2024 season. While it is always possible to shock the world, betting UNDER 75.5 WINS (-115) is the best play here.
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To win AL East Division
- Baltimore Orioles +180 (bet $100 to win $180)
- New York Yankees +180 (bet $100 to win $180)
- Toronto Blue Jays +400 (bet $100 to win $400)
- Tampa Bay Rays +575 (bet $100 to win $575)
- Boston Red Sox +2000 (bet $100 to win $2,000)
Bostons’s implied probability of winning the AL East is 4.76% or 20/1 fractional odds. Not finishing in last place again will be a highlight for the Red Sox. PASS.
To win American League
Odds: +3000 (bet $100 to win $3,000)
Boston is a historical franchise with a history of winning. Unfortunately for the fans, the Red Sox are not going to be contenders until they make more trades and develop their youngsters. The AL is packed with talent this season, and the Red Sox are on the outside looking in, hence their +3000 odds. While the Red Sox have short-term talent and could make runs throughout the season, do not expect to see them leading the pack come October.
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