Best bet: Vikings’ Justin Jefferson to lead NFL in receiving touchdowns

Analyzing the 2023 NFL odds for most receiving touchdowns, including an expert prediction and best bet.

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When speaking about the elite wide receivers in the NFL, there’s no doubt that Minnesota Vikings WR Justin Jefferson should be one of the first names mentioned. Since entering the NFL in 2020, Jefferson has been nothing but productive out wide, and he’s poised for another stellar campaign this season.

With the Vikings looking to be a pass-heavy team again, there is tremendous value in taking Jefferson to lead the NFL in receiving touchdowns this season.

Below, we look at the 2023 NFL receiving TDs leader odds at BetMGM Sportsbook and tab the best bet to make, adding to SportsbookWire.com’s expert NFL picks and predictions.

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2023 NFL odds: Most receiving TDs

*-Regular season only

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Wednesday, Aug. 23 , at 7:59 p.m. ET.

  • Ja’Marr Chase, Cincinnati Bengals (+650)
  • Davante Adams, Las Vegas Raiders (+850)
  • Travis Kelce, Kansas City Chiefs (+850)
  • A.J. Brown, Philadelphia Eagles (+1000)
  • Stefon Diggs, Buffalo Bills (+1000)
  • Tyreek Hill, Miami Dolphins (+1100)
  • JUSTIN JEFFERSON, MINNESOTA VIKINGS (+1200)
  • Cooper Kupp, Los Angeles Rams (+1300)
  • CeeDee Lamb, Dallas Cowboys (+1400)
  • Garrett Wilson, New York Jets (+1800)

OTHERS

+2000: Amari Cooper (Browns), Tee Higgins (Bengals), D.K. Metcalf (Seahawks), Calvin Ridley (Jaguars)

+2500: Jaylen Waddle (Dolphins), Mike Williams (Chargers)

+3000: Amon-Ra St. Brown (Lions), Devonta Smith (Eagles)

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2023 NFL best bet: Most receiving TDs

WR Justin Jefferson, Minnesota Vikings (+1200)

In each of Jefferson’s first 3 seasons in the NFL, he’s tallied at least 88 receptions, 1,400 receiving yards, and 7 receiving touchdowns for the Vikings. Just last season, he led the league in targets (184), receptions (128), and receiving yards (1,809).

While 8 receiving TDs was a solid output by Jefferson a season ago, he had 10 in 2021. And there’s reason to believe he can see an uptick in touchdowns this season.

The All-Pro wideout led the NFL in routes run in 2022 and in the red zone, Jefferson tied Kansas City Chiefs TE Travis Kelce for a league-best 19 targets inside the opponent’s 20-yard line, according to Pro Football Reference. The only problem is that Jefferson caught only 9 of those targets and 5 of them resulted in touchdowns.

After moving on from RB Dalvin Cook this offseason and having a pass-oriented offense under coach Kevin O’Connell, Jefferson should see plenty of scoring opportunities again this season.

Jefferson is arguably the best wide receiver in the NFL, and for him to have the 6th-best odds to lead the league in receiving touchdowns in an offense that has a path toward having the most pass attempts is peculiar.

BET JUSTIN JEFFERSON to record the MOST RECEIVING TOUCHDOWNS (+1200) this season.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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