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Bayern Munich welcome Real Madrid to Allianz Arena Tuesday for the 1st leg of the UEFA Champions League semifinal. Kickoff is set for 3 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Bayern Munich vs. Real Madrid odds, and make our best Champions League bets, picks and predictions.
Both teams knocked out top-tier English sides to reach the final 4.
Bayern drew Arsenal 2-2 on the road in the 1st leg then returned home and won 1-0. They beat Lazio a combined 3-1 in the Round of 16. Bayern were 5-1-0 (1 draw) in the group stage, ending with a +6 goal differential. They had a disappointing Bundesliga campaign and sit in 2nd, 12 points behind Bayer Leverkusen. F Harry Kane leads the team in Champions League scoring, having netted 7 goals in 10 games.
Real Madrid have been dominating La Liga, sitting atop the highest league in Spain with a +49 goal differential in 33 matches, winning 26 of them. They drew Man City 3-3 at home and then 1-1 through 90 minutes in England, winning 4-3 on penalty kicks. They beat RB Leipzig a combined 2-1 in the round of 16 after being just 1 of 2 teams to win all 6 Group Stage games. F Rodrygo leads Madrid and has tallied 5 Champions League goals.
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Bayern Munich vs. Real Madrid odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:14 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline: Bayern Munich +115 (bet $100 to win $115) | Real Madrid +220 (bet $100 to win $180) | Draw +260
- Over/Under: 2.5 (O: -154 | U: +126)
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Bayern Munich vs. Real Madrid picks and predictions
Prediction
Bayern Munich 2, Real Madrid 2
Moneyline (ML)
SPRINKLE DRAW (+260).
This play has the most value on the moneyline. Real Madrid have consistently been a strong side, throughout both La Liga and Champions League play, but in the latter, they have seldomly blown teams out. They have drawn their last 3 Champions League games and were outshot 45-22 in the 2 games against Man City.
Bayern got an objectively easier matchup with Arsenal and ended with the same amount of shots on target in their home match, drawing the English side on the road. Madrid are good enough to keep up with Bayern despite being on the road, and they have proved that against City in the quarterfinal.
Back a tight opening leg, and take DRAW (+260).
Over/Under (O/U)
BET OVER 2.5 (-154).
Real Madrid and Bayern Munich haven’t played each other in a Champions League match since the 2017-18 season. They have played in 8 games (4 knockout series) since 2010, and in 7 of those 8, the total ended above 2.5. Both teams have playmakers on the offensive end, and in the final 3rd as well, in Kane and M Jude Bellingham.
Couple that with the fact that Bayern’s 1st game against Arsenal ended 2-2 and Madrid’s 1st game against City ended 3-3, and there’s good reason to believe goals could be in bunches Tuesday.
Despite the juice, back OVER 2.5 (-154).
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