The Toronto Blue Jays (38-35) play the second game of their four-game set against the Baltimore Orioles (23-52) Friday at their temporary home of Sahlen Field in Buffalo, N.Y. First pitch is set for 7:07 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Orioles vs. Blue Jays odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Blue Jays RHP Alek Manoah (1-0, 4.18 ERA) makes the sixth start of his rookie season. He has a 1.14 WHIP, 10.3 K/9 and 3.4 BB/9 with 7 home runs surrendered over 23 2/3 innings.
- Has been roughed up and failed to make it out of the fourth inning in two of his five outings, including Saturday against the Orioles
- Manoah was suspended five games for hitting Orioles 3B Maikel Franco in that last outing but is appealing the ruling
Orioles RHP Matt Harvey (3-9, 7.80 ERA) makes his 16th start. He enters Friday with a 1.78 WHIP, 7.7 K/9 and 3.2 BB/9 through 62 1/3 innings.
- Has given up just 10 home runs through 15 starts, but his rates of hard contact and fly balls are both above league average, and he has allowed an AL-high 54 earned runs
- Faced the Blue Jays Sunday and allowed 4 ER over 4 1/3 IP; it was his longest outing in his last five games
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Orioles at Blue Jays odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 9:35 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Orioles +190 (bet $100 to win $190) | Blue Jays -250 (bet $250 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS: Orioles +1.5 (+105) | Blue Jays -1.5 (-130)
- Over/Under: 10.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)
Prediction
Blue Jays 8, Orioles 4
Money line (ML)
The Blue Jays picked up a fifth straight victory Thursday with a 9-0 domination of the O’s. They chased Orioles RHP Dean Kremer with 6 runs in the first inning and got 7 2/3 innings against the Baltimore bullpen.
Manoah struggled against the Orioles last weekend but still has a sizable advantage in the starting pitching matchup against Harvey. The Toronto bullpen is better rested and has been much improved of late with a 10th-ranked 4.13 xFIP over the last 14 days.
Still, we need to PASS at the steep -250 price point for the outright win. There’s better value to be had on the spread.
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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
The BLUE JAYS -1.5 (-130) should be backed to win by at least 2 runs. They’re second in MLB with a .776 team OPS against right-handed pitching, while the Orioles are 29th in the split with a rate of .654.
The Baltimore bullpen has also been worked for a total of 55 1/3 innings over the last 14 days and has a 4.35 xFIP over that time. Unless Harvey can turn back the clock, Toronto should win its fourth straight game against Baltimore by a multi-run margin.
Over/Under (O/U)
OVER 10.5 (-115) is a strong play while leaning into the vig for the most likely result as viewed by BetMGM.
The Jays will provide the bulk of the run support, but the O’s hit Manoah well a week ago and should get on the board after being held to a single run over their last three games.
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