The Baltimore Orioles (52-51) visit Globe Life Field Tuesday to play the Texas Rangers (46-56) for the 2nd-game of their 3-game set. First pitch is at 8:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Orioles vs. Rangers odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Season series: Baltimore leads 4-0 and has a plus-8 run differential
Baltimore won the series opener 7-2 Monday with Orioles batters 1-4 (CF Cedric Mullins, C Adley Rutschman, DH Anthony Santander and 1B Ryan Mountcastle) going 8-for-17 at the plate with 1 home run, 3 doubles and 6 RBIs. Rangers RHP Jon Gray exited in the 2nd inning with discomfort in his side.
The Orioles traded now-former All-Star closer Jorge Lopez to the Minnesota Twins and 1B Trey Mancini to the Houston Astros before Tuesday’s trade deadline.
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Orioles at Rangers projected starters
RHP Jordan Lyles vs. RHP Spencer Howard
Lyles is 7-8 with a 4.56 ERA, 1.44 WHIP, 3.0 BB/9 and 7.4 K/9 in 118 1/3 IP over 21 starts.
- Last start: Win, 3-0, at home Thursday vs. the Tampa Bay Rays with 5 2/3-scoreless IP, 3 H, 4 BB and 4 K.
- This is a “revenge game” for Lyles who pitched in Texas in the previous 2 seasons.
Howard is 2-2 with a 5.93 ERA, 1.58 WHIP, 3.6 BB/9 and 7.7 K/9 in 30 1/3 IP across 6 starts and 2 relief appearances.
- Last start: Win, 2-0, Thursday at the Los Angeles Angels with 5-scoreless IP, 3 H, 0 BB and 5 K.
- 2022 vs. the Orioles: No-decision in Texas’s 10-9 loss in Baltimore Tuesday with 4 IP, 4 ER, 6 H, 2 BB and 2 K.
Orioles at Rangers odds and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:18 p.m. ET.
- Money line (ML): Orioles +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Rangers -130 (bet $130 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Orioles +1.5 (-190) | Rangers -1.5 (+155)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -122 | U: -102)
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Orioles at Rangers picks and predictions
Prediction
Orioles 6, Rangers 4
Money line
BET a half-unit on the ORIOLES (+105) since the Rangers are 17-21 straight up (SU) as favorites.
Baltimore has the edge in the pitching matchup Tuesday. It’s a “revenge game” for Lyles who’s pitched well over his last 7 starts (3-2 SU with a 3.86 ERA) and Texas’s bullpen is fatigued after Gray exited Monday’s Orioles-Rangers meeting in the 2nd inning.
Baltimore’s lineup is also more productive vs. right-handed pitching. The Orioles outperform the Rangers against righty pitching in runs per 9 (4.47-4.16), wRC+ (96-84), wOBA (.304-.298) and ISO (.155-.146), according to FanGraphs.
BET the ORIOLES (+105) for a half-unit only because there’s “reverse line movement” in the betting market per Pregame.com, which suggests the Rangers could be the sharper side.
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Run line/Against the spread
PASS.
The Orioles +1.5 (-190) is way out of my price range for an outright bet but it’s obviously the right side. Baltimore is 31-21 RL as a road underdog and Texas is 8-14 RL as a home favorite.
Over/Under
LEAN OVER 8.5 (-122) because both starters are “bottom-of-the-rotation” guys and both bullpens are taxed.
Globe Life Field ranks 8th in park factor and there are hitter-friendly weather conditions forecasted Tuesday with temperatures in the high-90s and a 12 mph wind blowing out to center field.
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