The Texas Rangers (46-55) host the Baltimore Orioles (51-51) Monday for their 3-game series opener at Globe Life Field with the 1st pitch scheduled for 8:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Orioles vs. Rangers odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Baltimore lost the rubber match Sunday of its 3-game set at the Cincinnati Reds 3-2 and the Orioles are 5-5 straight up (SU) since the All-Star break.
Texas won 3 of 4 games at the Los Angeles Angels including a 5-2 victory in the series finale Sunday, but the Rangers are just 4-6 SU in the last 10.
Season series: Baltimore leads 3-0 and outscored Texas 19-16 in a 3-game sweep July 4-6.
PLAY: Free, daily sports pick’em contests. Play now!
Orioles at Rangers projected starters
RHP Spenser Watkins vs. RHP Jon Gray
Watkins is 3-1 with a 4.03 ERA, 1.41 WHIP, 3.1 BB/9 and 5.4 K/9 in 58 IP over 13 starts.
- Last start: No-decision in Baltimore’s 5-3 home win vs. the Tampa Bay Rays Tuesday with 5 1/3 IP, 3 ER, 10 H, 1 HR, 0 BB and 4 K.
- 2022 vs. the Rangers: 1 start, a 2-1 home win July 6, with 6 2/3 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 1 BB and 3 K.
Gray is 7-5 with a 3.62 ERA, 1.14 WHIP, 2.9 BB/9 and 10.0 K/9 in 102 IP across 18 starts.
- Last start: Lost 4-2 Wednesday at the Seattle Mariners with 6 1/3 IP, 4 ER, 5 H, 1 HR, 4 BB and 8 K.
- 2021 vs. the Orioles: 1 start, a 3-1 win July 17 in Baltimore while pitching for the Colorado Rockies with 7 IP, 1 ER, 5 H, 1 HR, 2 BB and 3 K.
Orioles at Rangers odds and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:02 a.m. ET.
- Money line (ML): Orioles +133 (bet $100 to win $133) | Rangers -165 (bet $165 to win $100)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Orioles +1.5 (-160) | Rangers -1.5 (+130)
- Over/Under (O/U): 7.5 (O: -115 | U: -107)
Exclusive USA TODAY Network offer: Deposit $10 or more, get $200 in instant bet credits at Tipico Sportsbook! New customer offer in CO and NJ. 21+, see Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. Place your legal, online sports bets at Tipico. Let’s make this interesting. Bet now!
Orioles at Rangers picks and predictions
Prediction
Rangers 5, Orioles 2
Money line
RISK 1 UNIT on the RANGERS (-165) instead of betting to win 1 unit.
There’s a “Pros vs. Joe’s” scenario in the betting market with roughly 70% of the cash on the Rangers whereas nearly two-thirds of the bets placed are on the Orioles (+133), per Pregame.com.
Typically, it’s wise to follow the money when it’s counter to the public since professional bettors put up a lot more dough than you or I.
Furthermore, Texas is 4-1 SU at home with Gray on the hill with an average final score of 5.00-3.40 with a plus-60.2% return on investment and Gray’s advanced pitching numbers are much better than Watkins’.
For instance, Gray’s K%, hard-hit rate and exit velocity are all better than the MLB average while Watkins’ are worse. Also, Gray’s FIP (3.37) is lower than his ERA whereas Watkins’ FIP is higher (4.45). FIP is more predictive than ERA so Gray’s pitching performance is more likely to continue than Watkins’.
If your standard unit is $100 then “FLAT-BET” that on the RANGERS (-165) to earn a $60.61 profit instead of betting $165 to win $100.
Win your fantasy baseball league with BaseballHQ.com. For decades, BHQ has been helping players just like you win! Use the couple code SBW22 for 20% OFF full-season subscription. New customer offer; expires 8/31/2022. Subscribe today and start winning!
Run line/Against the spread
LEAN to a “SPRINKLE” on the RANGERS -1.5 (+130) because they are 5-0 RL in Gray’s home starts, Baltimore’s previous 9 games have all been decided by at least 2 runs and all 3 of Texas’s wins last weekend vs. the Angels were by at least 2 runs.
Over/Under
LEAN UNDER 7.5 (-107) because there’s also a “Pros vs. Joe’s” scenario in the betting market for the total with the presumed sharp money favorite the Under, according to Pregame.com.
Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, Sportsbook Wire’s official sportsbook partner in CO, NJ and soon IA. Bet now!
If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW, or try out our USA TODAY Parlay Calculator. Please gamble responsibly.
Follow Geoff Clark on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.
Additional MLB coverage:
BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball
BaseballPress.com: Your source for every MLB lineup
Gannett may earn revenue from Tipico for audience referrals to betting services. Tipico has no influence over nor are any such revenues in any way dependent on or linked to the newsrooms or news coverage. See Tipico.com for Terms and Conditions. 21+ only. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ), 1-800-522-4700 (CO), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA).
[lawrence-newsletter]
[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1372]
[mm-video type=playlist id=01fb7dafw2b08817yr player_id=none image=https://sportsbookwire.usatoday.com/wp-content/plugins/mm-video/images/playlist-icon.png]