The Baltimore Orioles (38-67) look to make it back-to-back wins against the New York Yankees (56-49) Tuesday night after taking Monday’s series opener 7-1. Let’s analyze the lines around the Orioles vs. Yankees odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Orioles LHP Alexander Wells (1-1, 5.28 ERA) makes his third start. He has allowed 9 ER on 17 H and 9 BB with 12 K through 15 1/3 IP.
- Wells has made just two starts and four total appearances as a rookie this season. In his two starts, he allowed 7 total runs over 10 2/3 innings with 11 strikeouts and 3 home runs allowed.
- He walked at least 2 batters in each of his four outings, most recently walking 3 across 5 innings in a loss to the Detroit Tigers.
Yankees LHP Nestor Cortes (0-0, 1.93 ERA) makes his fourth start. He has a 0.95 WHIP, 2.8 BB/9 and 10.7 K/9 through 32 2/3 IP.
- Cortes has made only three starts this season but has appeared in 11 total games with 7 earned runs allowed.
- His longest outing of the season was last Wednesday against the Tampa Bay Rays when he spun 5 innings with 5 strikeouts and only 1 run allowed.
Orioles at Yankees odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 11:35 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Orioles +220 (bet $100 to win $220) | Yankees -280 (bet $280 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS: Orioles +2.5 (-125) | Yankees -2.5 (+100)
- Over/Under: 9.5 (O: -130 | U: +105)
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Prediction
Yankees 6, Orioles 3
Money line (ML)
The Yankees have Cortes on the mound, which means their bullpen is likely to get a good amount of work – not necessarily a good thing for New York. Still, Wells is making just his third start of the season for the Orioles and his first two didn’t go well.
Although I like the Yankees to win outright, the money line is far too chalky for me at -280. I would PASS.
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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
New York is a heavy favorite at home and needs to win by at least 3 runs to cover the run line. It may seem like a tough line to bet after the Orioles just pulled off the 7-1 upset Monday; however, the Yankees should bounce back and put up quite a few runs against Wells.
Cortes has pitched well enough when called upon, too, even if his starts haven’t gone deep into games. Bet the YANKEES -2.5 (+100).
Over/Under (O/U)
The total went Under Monday night with a total of 8 runs. The Under also hit in each of the Orioles’ last five games and10-1 over the Yankees’ last 11 games, so this trend has been strong for both teams.
Take the UNDER 9.5 (+105) again Tuesday.
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