The Baltimore Orioles (3-0) and New York Yankees (1-2) meet for the first time in 2021 Monday at 6:35 p.m. ET at Yankee Stadium. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Orioles vs. Yankees odds with MLB picks and predictions.
RHP Jorge Lopez is the projected starting pitcher for the Orioles. Last season, Lopez went 2-2 with a 6.69 ERA, 1.49 WHIP, 6.5 K/9, and 2.8 BB/9 in 39 IP over nine appearances. Against these Yankees, he faced 21 batters, allowing just four base runners (three hits, walk) and no extra-base hits. Lopez won this slot in the O’s rotation by posting a 2.75 ERA in six spring training appearances.
LHP Jordan Montgomery is the projected starting pitcher for the Yankees. Last year, Montgomery went 2-3 with a 5.11 ERA, 1.30 WHIP, 9.6 K/9, and 1.8 BB/9 in 44 IP over 10 starts. Baltimore bats own a whiff-heavy .550 OPS against the Yankee southpaw that returned from Tommy John surgery last season.
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Orioles at Yankees odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 1:40 p.m. ET.
- Money line: Orioles +180 (bet $100 to win $180) | Yankees -225 (bet $225 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS: Orioles +1.5 (+100) | Yankees -1.5 (-120)
- Over/Under: 9.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)
Prediction
Yankees 5, Orioles 3
Money line (ML)
Pegging the Yankees as a near-.600 club and the Orioles as a near-.400 one, and giving Montgomery a nod in the starter department, New York’s American League entry is worth more than a -200 price for this one. Up to -225 is reasonable. PASS ON THE JUICE-FILLED PRICES AS LISTED.
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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
Last season, New York went 7-3 against Baltimore. Five of the Yanks’ wins were by a two-run cushion or more.
The Yankees are just the slightest lean as the batting-last home side with an Under shade. Consider a partial-unit play on NEW YORK -1.5 (-120).
Over/Under (O/U)
New York’s potent offense has been kept under wraps by a lackluster performance with runners in scoring position. A warmed-up (63 degrees at first pitch in the forecast) Yankee Stadium with a projected double-digit wind out to right would appear to be the right medicine for turning an offense around.
But both starting pitchers do well to keep the ball on the ground (so, in fact, do both bullpen units). Montgomery figures to be stingy in yielding hard contact. Baltimore’s early offensive numbers have been somewhat underpinned by a high batting average on balls in play, particularly in high-leverage situations.
To all of the at is added a tag with some room for value below. TAKE THE UNDER 9.5 (-105).
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