The Baltimore Orioles (20-22) remain in New York after a two-game series against the Mets and will kick off a four-game series against the New York Yankees (22-21) Thursday at Yankee Stadium. Below, we analyze the Orioles-Yankees MLB betting odds and lines, with picks and best bets.
Orioles at Yankees: Projected starting pitchers
LHP Keegan Akin vs. RHP Gerrit Cole
Akin is a 25-year-old rookie appearing in this fifth game (third start). He owns a 2.08 ERA through 13 IP.
- Has a fastball-slider-change repertoire. The middle of those three — and Akin has thrown sliders at a 24% rate — is a problem area for the New York offense.
For a top-flight pitcher, Cole has been scuffling along over recent starts. For the season, he owns a 3.63 ERA and 1.10 WHIP, a far cry from the sub-3.00 ERA logged each of the last two seasons.
- Has yielded more frequent hard contact and nearly twice as much barreled contact as he did in 2018 and 2019.
- Allowed just 1 ER in his last start but 5 runs overall. The quality of contact allowed was in line with previous troubled starts.
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Orioles at Yankees: Key injuries
(Get the latest injury news here.)
Orioles
- OF Austin Hays (ribs) out
- OF Anthony Santander (oblique) out
Yankees
- OF Aaron Judge (calf) out
- RP Jonathan Loaisiga (undisclosed) out
- OF Giancarlo Stanton (hamstring) out
- 3B Gio Urshela (elbow) out
Also see: BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball
Orioles at Yankees: Odds, lines, picks and betting tips
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 11:10 a.m. ET.
Moneyline (ML)
The Yankees’ (-238) injuries have been near-catastrophic at the team level. SS Gleyber Torres and 2B DJ LeMahieu have recently returned to the lineup, but this is a Yankees offense that has paled in comparison to the blueprint drawn up in the front office. The bullpen injuries have perhaps impacted New York even more, and the best relievers the Yanks have on their active roster have been way off the mark of late.
The Orioles’ (+210) run differential supports a better record than the .476 winning percentage the club has. Underlying performance stats support another win or so above and beyond that.
None of this is to say New York shouldn’t be a significant favorite on Thursday night, but ORIOLES (+210) is a value line worth playing.
New to sports betting? A winning $10 bet on the Orioles returns a profit of $21.
Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
There is no value here. AVOID the Orioles +1.5 (-106).
Over/Under (O/U)
Rain is possible for this one. Humidity is even more so. Hitters’ yard, Cole allowing rocket contact, rookie hurler for the visitors, struggling Yankees ‘pen, humid night — it all plays out for value on the OVER 9 (-106).
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