The Baltimore Orioles (19-21) visit the New York Mets (19-23) for the first game of a 2-game series at Citi Field, Tuesday, at 7:10 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze the Orioles-Mets MLB betting odds and lines, with picks and best bets.
Orioles at Mets: Projected starting pitchers
LHP John Means vs. RHP Michael Wacha
Means: 0-3 with an 8.10 ERA, 1.40 WHIP, 5.4 K/9 and 1.8 BB/9 in 20 IP over 6 starts.
- Last start: Loss, 9-4, with 5 1/3 IP, 8 H, 4 ER, 1 K and 1 BB against the Mets Sept. 2.
Wacha: 1-2 with a 7.20 ERA, 1.75 WHIP, 12.2 K/9 and 3.2 BB/9 in 20 IP over 5 starts.
- Last start: No-decision with 3 IP, 4 H, 2 ER, 2 K and 1 BB in a 9-4 Mets win over the Orioles Sept. 2.
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Orioles at Mets: Key injuries
(Get the latest injury news here.)
Orioles
- 1B Chris Davis (knee) out
- OF Austin Hays (ribs) out
Mets
- RP Dellin Betances (back) out
Also see: BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball
Orioles at Mets: Odds, lines, picks and betting tips
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 1:30 p.m. ET.
Prediction
Orioles 7, Mets 2
Moneyline (ML)
The ORIOLES (+165) won three of four games against the New York Yankees in their previous series, and split a 2-game series with the Mets (-182) before that.
The Mets (-182) split a 4-game series versus the Philadelphia Phillies but lost their last game, 9-8, in extra innings Monday. This is a rematch of last Wednesday’s Orioles-Mets game in Baltimore featuring Means vs. Wacha and it’s a game New York won.
The flipping of home ballparks doesn’t hurt the Orioles as much as you’d think. Baltimore has a winning record on the road and a losing record at home plus Means has a lower ERA and WHIP in away games.
Means was the Orioles’ best starter in 2019 and an All-Star but has struggled to replicate last year’s first-half performance, but Wacha has been bad as well in 2020.
There is too much value in ORIOLES (+165) to pass up. New to sports betting? A $10 bet on the Orioles (+165) pays a $16.50 profit if Baltimore upsets New York.
Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
The ORIOLES +1.5 (-134) have the second-best run line record (13-4 RL) and are tied with the highest RL margin (+1.0 ) in MLB. The Mets (-1.5, +110) have a 9-12 home RL record.
If we are going to take the value with the moneyline, it would be best to balance that with a BET on ORIOLES +1.5 (-134) for insurance.
Over/Under (O/U)
I “LEAN” OVER 9 (-106) because the market favors the Over and neither starting pitcher has looked good in 2020.
Also, the Over is 6-0 in the Orioles’ last six versus the NL East and the Over is 4-0-1 in the Mets’ last five versus the AL East.
It’s only a lean since the Under is 7-0 in the last seven Orioles-Mets games in New York and Citi Field is a notoriously pitcher-friendly ballpark.
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