The Baltimore Orioles (24-54) and Houston Astros (48-30) play the first game of a three-game set Monday with an 8:10 p.m. ET first pitch at Minute Maid Park. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Orioles vs. Astros odds with MLB picks and predictions.
RHP Thomas Eshelman is the projected starting pitcher for the Orioles. He is 0-1 with a 7.27 ERA, 1.50 WHIP, 4.2 K/9 and 2.1 BB/9 in 8 2/3 IP over 2 starts.
Eshelman faced the Astros at Camden Yards Wednesday, and it wasn’t good. He coughed up six earned runs, eight hits and a walk in just four innings in a 13-0 loss.
RHP Zack Greinke is the projected starting pitcher for the Astros. He is 8-2 with a 3.56 ERA, 1.11 WHIP, 6.4 K/9 and 1.8 BB/9 in 98 2/3 IP over 16 starts.
Greinke was super against the O’s in Baltimore Tuesday allowing just one run, five hits and a walk in 7 1/3 innings to win his fourth straight decision in the past five starts.
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Orioles at Astros odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 7:35 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Orioles +240 (bet $100 to win $240) | Astros -300 (bet $300 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS: Orioles +2.5 (-115) | Astros -2.5 (-105)
- Over/Under: 9.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)
Prediction
Astros 8, Orioles 2
Money line (ML)
The Astros (-300) will cost you three times your potential return. No self-respecting bettor can lay that kind of cheese. Over the long term it’s a losing betting strategy, too.
AVOID.
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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
The ASTROS -2.5 (-105) are a much-better play laying the two-and-a-half runs. Houston tuned up Baltimore in a three-game sweep at Camden Yards last week outscoring the O’s 26-3. Playing the alternate winning margin line of ASTROS BY 4 RUNS OR MORE (+135) is also worth a roll of the dice.
Over/Under (O/U)
The OVER 9.5 (-105) is the lean here based on Houston’s performance last week against Baltimore pitching. Eshelman was smacked around by the Astros Wednesday, and there is no reason to believe he’ll keep them down here. Houston has the potential to roll up double digits all on their own.
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