The Baltimore Orioles (35-66) and Detroit Tigers (50-55) continue a four-game series Friday at 7:10 p.m. ET at Comerica Park. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Orioles vs. Tigers odds with MLB picks and predictions.
RHP Matt Harvey is the projected starting pitcher for the Orioles. He is 5-10 with a 6.65 ERA, 1.58 WHIP, 6.9 K/9 and 2.8 BB/9 through 88 IP spanning 20 starts.
Harvey has pitched 12 scoreless innings in the second half. The veteran hurler reaches the end of July with a .334 batting average on balls in play and 56.7% left-on-base rate. He’s a candidate to finish strong over the final two months.
LHP Tarik Skubal is the projected starter for the Tigers. He is 6-9 with a 4.42 ERA, 1.31 WHIP, 10.2 K/9 and 3.4 BB/9 across 99 2/3 IP through 19 starts and two relief appearances.
Skubal coughed up 5 runs on 3 home runs in his last start, and he’s been barreled up frequently this season. He struggles against right-handed bats with an .832 OPS allowed for his career and will see a lot in a Baltimore lineup that excels against left-handers with a high-contact .758 OPS.
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Orioles at Tigers odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 11:16 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Orioles +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Tigers -150 (bet $150 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS: Orioles +1.5 (-150) | Tigers -1.5 (+125)
- Over/Under: 9 (O: -120 | U: +100)
Prediction
Orioles 6, Tigers 5
Money line (ML)
Peg these clubs as being more similar than what shows in their records. Detroit benefits from playing in the easier AL Central, and the Tigers are 16-13 in 1-run games. Baltimore toils in the shark-infested waters of the AL East, and the Orioles are 7-15 in 1-run contests.
Give the Orioles an edge in a bullpen comparison. Plus, the Detroit ‘pen struggles mightily against righty bats and will see a slew of them aligned for Skubal. Skubal is a fly-ball pitcher who has been hit hard of late pitching on what is expected to be a breeze-out night in the Motor City.
Take the ORIOLES (+125).
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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
PASS on the run line unless you can get an Orioles’ tag closer to -140.
Over/Under (O/U)
Consider the OVER 9 (-120). The Baltimore offense has some play to it and is significantly better against lefty pitching. Detroit’s bullpen struggles against the righty bats expected to pepper the Baltimore lineup.
Mix in two fatigued relief corps and a batters’ breeze out to right-center field.
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