The Baltimore Orioles (50-49) take on the Cincinnati Reds (38-60) Friday in the 1st game of a 3-game set at Great American Ball Park. First pitch is set for 6:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Orioles vs. Reds odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Season series: First meeting since 2017
The O’s have gone 15-5 over their last 20 games to get above .500. They took 3 of 4 games against the Tampa Bay Rays in their last series and are just 3 games out of the final AL Wild Card spot. OF Anthony Santander leads the team with 17 homers and 52 RBIs.
One domino has fallen — and several more are likely to follow — as the Reds traded OF Tyler Naquin to the New York Mets Thursday. The Reds have been scrappy with an 11-9 mark over their last 20 contests as they have received great starting pitching of late. Before Thursday’s bullpen implosion, the Reds had allowed just 10 runs in their last 4 games.
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Orioles at Reds projected starters
RHP Kyle Bradish vs. LHP Mike Minor
The rookie Bradish (1-4, 7.38 ERA) makes his 11th start. He has a 1.77 WHIP, 3.5 BB/9 and 8.9 K/9 in 46 1/3 IP.
- Has allowed 4 ER or more in 6 of his last 9 starts
- In 3 road starts, has a 9.00 ERA and 1.62 WHIP vs. a 6.75 ERA and 1.83 WHIP in 7 home starts
Minor (1-7, 6.65 ERA) makes his 10th start. He has a 1.61 WHIP, 3.7 BB/9 and 8.0 K/9 in 46 IP.
- Equally as bad at home as the road: 6.75 ERA and 1.50 WHIP at home (30 2/3 IP) vs. 6.46 ERA and 1.83 WHIP on road (15 1/3 IP)
- Holding lefties to a .193/.246/.386 slash line this year
Orioles at Reds odds and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:48 p.m. ET.
- Money line (ML): Orioles -125 (bet $125 to win $100) | Reds +102 (bet $100 to win $102)
- Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Orioles -1.5 (+125) | Reds +1.5 (-155)
- Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Orioles at Reds picks and predictions
Prediction
Orioles 7, Reds 5
Money line
The O’s are playing well, the Reds are tearing it down as the trade deadline nears and Cincinnati’s starter has been atrocious this year.
I’m comfortable with the ORIOLES (-125) on the ML. Cincinnati has the worst bullpen ERA at 5.21, while Baltimore is 3rd-best with a 3.01 ERA.
I also like OVER 4.5 TOTAL RUNS FIRST 5 INNINGS (-145).
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Run line/Against the spread
The Orioles’ last 8 wins have been by more than 1 run. They’re also 64-35 on the RL for the season, including 30-20 RL on the road. If you’re down with the O’s taking this game, you should be good with the RL.
TAKE ORIOLES -1.5 (+125).
Over/Under
Baltimore is 7-3 O/U over the last 10, and Cincinnati is 6-4. The forecast calls for the wind to be blowing out to left-center at 12 mph. Both starters have over 6.00 ERAs.
This O/U line should be higher. Let’s take OVER 9.5 (-110).
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