Baltimore Orioles at Boston Red Sox odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Thursday’s Baltimore Orioles at Boston Red Sox odds and lines, with MLB picks and predictions.

The Baltimore Orioles and Boston Red Sox open a three-game series Thursday at 2:10 p.m. at Fenway Park. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Orioles vs. Red Sox with MLB picks and predictions.

LHP John Means is the projected starting pitcher for the Orioles. He was 2-4 with a 4.53 ERA, 0.98 WHIP, 8.7 K/9 and 1.4 BB/9 in 43 2/3 IP over 10 starts last season. For his career, Means has been cuffed to the tune of a .786 on-base-plus-slugging in 88 1/3 innings on the road. He struggles against righty bats which is often a difficult cross to bear in games at Fenway.

RHP Nathan Eovaldi is the projected starter for the Red Sox. He went 4-2 with a 3.72 ERA, 1.20 WHIP, 9.7 K/9 and 1.3 BB/9 in 48 1/3 IP over nine starts. Eovaldi has had some shaky early-season numbers in his career (.760 OPS allowed in March/April), but he owns a solid career line against current Baltimore batters (.667 OPS allowed, 2.6-to-1 strikeout-to-walk ratio).

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Orioles at Red Sox odds, lines, picks and prediction

MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated Wednesday at 6:20 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Orioles +150 (bet $100 to win $150) | Red Sox -165 (bet $165 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Orioles +1.5 (-145) | Red Sox -1.5 (+120)
  • Over/Under: 9 (O: -120 | U: +100)

Prediction

Red Sox 6, Orioles 3

Money line (ML)

Peg Eovaldi as the more bankable starter in this matchup, and look for the Red Sox to get off to a good start with manager Alex Cora once again at the helm. The pricing here seems to treat the pitching matchup as a flat trade-off.

TAKE BOSTON -165.

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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)

On a high total with a slight lean toward the Over, RED SOX -1.5 (+120) fits nicely as a secondary play.  Current Boston batters own a contact-heavy .874 OPS against Means. Even in chilly weather, the odds of Means getting jumped in a multi-run Boston romp make for a solid return here.

Over/Under (O/U)

The Over has attracted some attention in this tilt. But the extra juice on the upward play here squelches value. PASS.

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