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The Buffalo Bulls (8-4) battle the Liberty Flames (8-3) in the Bahamas Bowl Saturday. Kickoff from Thomas A. Robinson National Stadium is scheduled for 11 a.m. ET (ESPN2). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s college football odds around the Buffalo vs. Liberty odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.
Buffalo closed its season with 4 wins in a row, capped by a dominating 43-7 rout of Kent State Nov. 26. The Bulls covered as a 23.5-point home favorites in the regular-season finale with the Under (51) hitting. QB C.J. Ogbonna threw for 193 yards with 3 TDs vs. 1 interception, while adding 2 TDs on the ground. RB Al-Jay Henderson carried the ball 30 times for 185 yards and a TD in the win.
Liberty had a 3-game win streak snapped with a 20-18 loss as a 2.5-point favorite at Sam Houston State in its regular-season finale Nov. 29. QB Kaidon Salter only completed 12 of 35 passes for 83 yards and a TD with 2 INTs as the Under (48) cashed. He won’t be playing in the bowl game as he transferred to Colorado. RB Quinton Cooley finished with 90 rushing yards on 19 carries, ending a 4-game streak of rushing for at least 100 yards.
– Rankings: US LBM Coaches Poll, conducted by the American Football Coaches Association and USA TODAY Sports
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Buffalo vs. Liberty odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of college football odds. Lines last updated Friday at 10:34 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Buffalo -150 (bet $150 to win $100) | Liberty +125 (bet $100 to win $125)
- Against the spread (ATS): Buffalo -3 (-105) | Liberty +3 (-115)
- Over/Under (O/U): 50.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)
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Buffalo vs. Liberty picks and predictions
Prediction
Buffalo 38, Liberty 28
Moneyline
PASS.
There is better value on the Buffalo spread than its ML (-150).
Against the spread
BET BUFFALO -3 (-105).
During the Bulls’ 4-game win streak, they went 3-1 ATS. Four of their last 5 wins have come by 11 or more points with the other coming by an overtime field goal. They have scored 37 or more points in each of their last 4 games and face a Flames team that is 3-8 ATS on the season.
Over/Under
BET OVER 50.5 (-115).
Liberty has scored 35 or more points in 3 of its last 4 games and 28 or more points in all 8 its wins. The Flames have allowed 24 or more points in 7 of its 11 games.
As mentioned, Buffalo has scored 37 or more points in each of its last 4 games. They’ve scored at least 30 points in 8 of their 12 games, while allowing 30 or more points in 4 of their last 6.
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