Auburn has 63% chance to beat Mississippi State on Saturday

For the first time in several weeks, ESPN analytics is predicting an Auburn victory.

For the first time in several weeks, ESPN analytics is predicting a victory for the Auburn Tigers.

According to the latest data from ESPN’s matchup predictor, Auburn has been given a 62.8% chance to beat Mississippi State on Saturday afternoon. The margin is not a wide one, but it provides confidence that the Tigers can end its four-game SEC losing streak.

One of the advantages that Auburn has over Mississippi State is its ability to disrupt the passing game. Auburn allows its opposition to pass for just 214 yards per game and has a coverage grade of 86.8 according to Pro Football Focus. An injury to Bulldogs quarterback Will Rogers could aid Auburn more on Saturday if he is not available to play.

Due to many teams taking their midseason bye week this week, there are only four games outside of Auburn-Mississippi State taking place within the SEC this weekend. Here is a look at how ESPN’s matchup predictor forecasts each game to play out.