Auburn has 43.2% chance to beat Oklahoma on Saturday

Auburn is not favored to beat the SEC’s newest face on Saturday.

Following a brutal 24-14 loss to the Arkansas Razorbacks to open up SEC play, the Auburn Tigers are not sitting in a very good position heading into the rest of this season.

The metrics agree, and ESPN is showing that as the Tigers are not favored to win on Saturday against one of the newest faces in the conference, the Oklahoma Sooners.

According to the ESPN Football Power Index and matchup predictor, Auburn only has a 43.2% chance to defeat the Sooners this weekend, marking the first game this year that it is not projected to win.

The percentages, however, do not match the betting lines of this one whatsoever. ESPNBet opened the spread at -3 in favor of Oklahoma. Since the injury reports have come out and betting has continued, the line now favors the Tigers at -1. The over/under was originally set at 47.5 points as well, but has since dropped to 45.5.

The Sooners currently rank dead last in the SEC in total offense at 299.5 yards per game, and second to last in points, scoring an average of just 29, only ahead of Kentucky.

With five receivers listed as being out of Saturday’s contest, Auburn needs to handle business on the defensive side of the ball in order to come out on top in what would be a huge bounce back win.

The Tigers take on Oklahoma in the final game of a five-week home stretch at 2:30 p.m. CST in Jordan-Hare Stadium on Saturday. The game will be broadcast on ABC.

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