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The Auburn Tigers (2-4, 0-3 SEC) take on the Missouri Tigers (5-1, 1-1) at Memorial Stadium/Faurot Field Saturday. Kickoff is set for noon ET (ESPN). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s college football odds around the Auburn vs. Missouri odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.
Auburn has dropped 3 straight after a 31-13 defeat at Georgia Oct. 5. This will make the Tigers’ 4th straight serious opponent. So they are battle-tested in the early going. QB Payton Thorne was 16-for-27 for 200 yards, 0 TDs and 0 INTs against UGA. RB Jarquez Hunter ran hard for a 13-91-1 line against a stout opponent.
Missouri, No. 16 in the US LBM Coaches Poll, poured it on UMASS in a 45-3 victory last week that really no one is talking about locally. The Tigers have not looked like themselves all season, and Texas A&M embarrassing them 41-10 makes this game super important for Mizzou’s playoff hopes. WR Luther Burden III had a 61-yard touchdown run and caught 5 of 6 targets for 59 yards. He gave the team a scare when he came down hard on his left shoulder. His arm dangled as he went to the injury tent, but he is not on this week’s injury report.
– Rankings: US LBM Coaches Poll, conducted by the American Football Coaches Association and USA TODAY Sports
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Auburn at Missouri odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of college football odds. Lines last updated at Friday at 11 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Auburn +155 (bet $100 to win $155) | Missouri -190 (bet $190 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Auburn +4.5 (-115) | Missouri -4.5 (-105)
- Over/Under (O/U): 50.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)
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Auburn at Missouri picks and predictions
Prediction
Missouri 24, Auburn 17
Moneyline
I look for Mizzou to make a statement here. It got waxed by A&M and then beat a hapless UMASS team. It’s not getting any respect, and frankly, it doesn’t deserve it. It entered the season with some of the highest expectations in program history, and it has been a little flat.
Skip the -190, and take LUTHER BURDEN ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN (-125). He’s the most talented player on the field at all times. He has scored a TD in 5 of 6 games this season.
Slap the 20% CFB odds boost most BetMGM users were granted, which takes it to -105.
Against the spread
Mizzou has covered 3 times this year, and they were all against bad teams. It outscored those bad teams 134-3. Auburn is not a bad team, but its cover as 21-point dogs against UGA last time out was its first cover that wasn’t against a team it was supposed to pummel.
Take MISSOURI -4.5 (-110).
Over/Under
These teams haven’t faced one another since Sept. 2022, and both teams are very different. Auburn won that game 17-14 in overtime. Mizzou is just 2-4 O/U this season, and Auburn is 3-3. This total is a little high for me. Mizzou QB Brady Cook has not been anywhere close to the form he showed last season, and I look for a focus on the running game.
LEAN UNDER 50.5 (-115).
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