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The Auburn Tigers (3-2, 0-2 SEC) and No. 20 LSU Tigers (4-2, 3-1) meet Saturday at Tiger Stadium. Kickoff is set for 7 p.m. ET (ESPN). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Auburn vs. LSU odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.
Auburn covered the spread as a 14-point home underdog in a 27-20 loss vs. the No. 1 Georgia Bulldogs with the Over (44.5) cashing Sept. 30 before its bye last week. QB Payton Thorne passed for 82 yards with an INT and rushed for another 92 yards.
LSU covered as a 6.5-point favorite with a 49-39 win at the then-No. 22 Missouri Tigers as the Over (63.5) hit last Saturday. QB Jayden Daniels threw for 259 yards with 3 TDs and rushed for 130 yards and a score.
The last time these teams met, Auburn covered as an 8-point home underdog in a 21-17 loss as the Under (44.5) hit Oct. 1, 2022. Auburn has covered in the last 4 head-to-head meetings, going 2-2 straight up.
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Auburn at LSU odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 3:48 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Auburn +310 (bet $100 to win $310) | LSU -400 (bet $400 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Auburn +10.5 (-105) | LSU -10.5 (-115)
- Over/Under (O/U): 60.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)
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Auburn at LSU picks and predictions
Prediction
LSU 31, Auburn 24
Moneyline
It’s unlikely that LSU (-400) will lose straight up at home to an unranked opponent. However, -400 is too much to pay in this spot.
PASS. Bet the spread and/or the total instead.
Against the spread
Auburn was impressive last time out, holding top-ranked Georgia to just 27 points. The Tigers prefer to run the ball, and their defense is holding opponents to just 16.3 first downs per game this season — the 15th-fewest in the nation, according to Teamrankings.com. Auburn should slow this one down, and each point on its spread becomes more valuable when the game is lower scoring.
LSU struggled to just get the straight-up win as an 18-point favorite in its last home game, barely beating the Arkansas Razorbacks 34-31 Sept. 23. I’m not convinced that LSU will win by 11 or more vs. this Auburn defense that gave Georgia fits.
BET AUBURN +10.5 (-105).
Over/Under
The Under has hit in the last 5 meetings between these teams. This trend should continue since Auburn struggles in the passing game and will look to control the clock.
The Over is 6-0 in LSU games this season, but the line has dropped since Sunday when it was 63.5. This isn’t the best number, but I still LEAN UNDER 60.5 (-115).
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