Atletico Madrid (3 wins, 1 loss, 1 draw) hosts Real Madrid (5-0-0) at Metropolitano Stadium Sunday with kickoff set for 3 p.m. ET. Below, we preview Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Atletico Madrid vs. Real Madrid odds, and make our best La Liga bets, picks and predictions.
Atletico Madrid is coming into this match following a disappointing 2-0 loss to Leverkusen in the UEFA Champions League. They did win their prior 2 matches and have won 3 of their last 5.
Atletico is led in scoring by F Álvaro Morata (3 goals) and by M Koke, the team captain. F Antoine Griezmann will be another name to keep an eye on.
As for the league-leading Real Madrid, they are led by dangerous F Karim Benzema, who had the most goals in the league last season, and by F Vinicius Júnior, who leads the team in with 4 goals.
Real sits atop La Liga in points per game and has yet to lose. Barcelona (5-0-1) would take over the top spot if Real doesn’t come out with at least a draw on the road.
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Atletico Madrid vs. Real Madrid odds
Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:55 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Atletico Madrid +205 (bet $100 to win $205) | Real Madrid +133 (bet $100 to win $133) | Draw +240
- Over/Under: 2.5 (O: -107 | U: -115)
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Prediction
Real Madrid 2, Atletico Madrid 1
Money line (ML)
BET REAL MADRID (+133).
Whenever you can get Real at this price, it’s worth something. Against top-4 teams on the road last season, Real was 3-1-0, taking on Barcelona twice away from home.
Their lone loss was to Atletico, but that was also coming off a Wednesday match against Man City in the Champions League semifinals, a game that went a full 120 minutes.
Real has handled teams easily this season with 15 goals and just 5 against.
Real has also dominated in terms of expected goals, which Atletico cannot say as even in their 4-1 in during their last league match they had fewer expected goals.
Atletico has had fewer expected goals in 2 of their 5 league matches. Against a team of Real’s caliber, I expect them to struggle. Given this price, I’d back REAL MADRID (+133).
Over/Under (O/U)
LEAN OVER 2.5 (-107).
Real Madrid has gone over this total in every league match. Now, Atletico’s defense is among the best in the league, but they’ve also had just 2 clean sheets, often giving up at least 1 goal.
Real should get on the board, and at the same time, they have allowed 1 goal in every match, not having a clean sheet yet. Atletico has a few big-name strikes that need to produce in games like this.
Considering both teams have been solid offensively and not overly dominant defensively, I would back the OVER 2.5 (-107) in this one.
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