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Atlanta United (11 wins, 9 draws, 8 losses) and Inter Miami (8-4-14) square off at Mercedes-Benz Stadium Saturday. Kickoff is set for 5 p.m. ET. Below, we preview BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Atlanta United vs. Inter Miami odds, and make our best expert MLS picks and predictions.
Inter Miami is 14th in the Eastern Conference and remains well outside of playoff position, but it did win the Leagues Cup and is in the U.S. Open Cup final after the addition of F Lionel Messi.
Messi is considered one of the best soccer players in the world and has 1 goal in 3 MLS regular-season appearances. Inter had 5 wins in 22 matches to start the season but has won 3 of 4 games since Messi’s arrival. They are just 3-1-9 on the road this season.
Atlanta has been far better at home than away. It is 8-3-3 at Mercedes-Benz Stadium but is just 3-6-5 on the road. It is led by F Giorgos Giakoumakis, who has 13 goals in 21 matches (15 starts). United has won 2 of their last 4 games and is 4-1-3 over their last 8.
Atlanta lost 2-1 on the road at Inter Miami on May 6 in their first meeting this season.
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Atlanta United vs. Inter Miami odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:10 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline: Atlanta United +115 (bet $100 to win $115) | Inter Miami +190 (bet $100 to win $190) | Draw +275
- Over/Under: 3.5 (O: +115 | U: -170)
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Atlanta United vs. Inter Miami picks and predictions
Prediction
Atlanta United 2, Inter Miami 2
Moneyline (ML)
SPRINKLE DRAW (+275) for the value.
Inter should be able to push for a playoff spot over its last 8 games. Having played so many non-MLS games over the past few months, Messi may not start. Miami has drawn 4 of its last 8 games and is 2-1-0 over its last 3 outings. However, Inter’s road struggles are notable.
Atlanta has been strong at home and sits 6th in the East. It is averaging 1.82 goals per game while Miami is allowing 1.50 per game. United should be able to score enough to hang with Inter on Saturday.
Over/Under (O/U)
BET OVER 3.5 (+115).
The strength of both sides is in the attack. Atlanta is averaging 1.82 goals per game and allowing 1.54. It has scored in every home game and allowed a goal in all but 4 of them and has netted 2 goals in 9 of 14 home matches. United has topped this total in 7 of 14 matches and will be playing a side with similar traits.
Inter has scored 8 goals in 4 matches since Messi’s arrival and has tallied at least 3 goals in 2 of the 4. They have allowed in all but one road match this season, displaying a crippling weakness on the back end. Expect goals to be scored with two attack-heavy sides and take OVER 3.5 (+110).
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