The Atlanta Hawks (23-24) visit the San Antonio Spurs (24-21) Thursday for an 8:30 p.m. ET tip-off at AT&T Center. Below, we analyze the Hawks-Spurs odds and lines, with NBA picks and predictions.
Atlanta has lost back-to-back games and four of five contests, with the latest being a 117-110 loss to the Phoenix Suns as 5.5-point road underdogs. This is Atlanta’s seventh game of an eight-game Western Conference road swing. It’s just 2-4 straight up and against the spread.
San Antonio just split a two-game road miniseries with the Sacramento Kings by whooping up on Sac-Town 120-106 Wednesday. Over the past two weeks, the Spurs are 2-5 SU and ATS with the losses aside from the Kings all being against winning teams.
The Spurs beat the Hawks handily125-114 in their first meeting this season and easily covered the spread as 2.5-point road underdogs.
Hawks at Spurs: Odds, spread and lines
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:20 p.m. ET.
- Money line: Hawks -110 (bet $110 to win $100) | Spurs -110 (bet $110 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS: Hawks +1 (-115) | Spurs -1 (-105)
- Over/Under: 220.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
Hawks at Spurs: Key injuries
Hawks
- SF De’Andre Hunter (knee) questionable
- PF John Collins (ankle) out
- SG Cam Reddish (Achilles) out
Spurs
- SG Lonnie Walker IV (wrist) questionable
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Hawks at Spurs: Odds, lines, predictions and picks
Prediction
Spurs 114, Hawks 109
Money line (ML)
The SPURS (-110) are the play here because they are healthier and match up well with the Hawks.
Atlanta struggles against good defenses and could be without their third- and fourth-highest on-off court net rating players in Collins and Hunter.
According to CleaningTheGlass.com, the Hawks are 5-9 straight up with a minus-5.0 in net points per 100 possessions and the 18th-ranked ATS margin (minus-1.5) vs. top-10 defenses by points per 100 possessions.
Additionally, San Antonio is 11-4 overall vs. Eastern Conference teams with an average score of 112.9-107.0 and Atlanta is 10-12 overall against the Western Conference.
BET SPURS (-110) for 1.25 units.
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Against the spread (ATS)
PASS because San Antonio’s money line is only 5 cents on the dollar more expensive than the spread because this would be considered a “very good spot” for the Spurs.
For example, San Antonio has the highest cover rate and ATS margin against non-conference opponents, the Spurs are 6-2 ATS when laying 1-2.5 points and have covered the spread in 75% of their games when playing with a rest disadvantage.
Over/Under (O/U)
“LEAN” to OVER 220.5 (-110) for a quarter-unit only because market reports indicate a ton of action is on the Over yet the House is moving the total down which suggests they want more Over money.
However, the Hawks have played to the Over in four of their past five games, the Spurs went Over in three of their last five and the assigned officiating crew has a combined 64-35 O/U record this season.
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Also see:
- Bet Slippin’ Podcast: 2021 MLB American League Betting Preview
- Hoops Hype rumors: Hawks | Spurs
Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.
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