The Golden State Warriors (22-23) host the Atlanta Hawks (22-22) Friday at 10 p.m. ET game in the Chase Center. Below, we analyze the Hawks-Warriors odds and lines, with NBA picks and predictions.
This is Atlanta’s fourth game of an 8-game Western Conference road trip and the Hawks have lost two straight after beating the Los Angeles Lakers 99-94 Saturday in a game LeBron James exited after spraining his ankle.
Since naming Nate McMillan interim head coach on March 2, Atlanta is 8-2 overall and ATS.
Golden State upset the Memphis Grizzlies 116-103 March 19 without Steph Curry but have lost three in a row since, all without Curry in the lineup. The Warriors are just 3-4 overall and ATS after the All-Star break.
The Hawks pummeled the Warriors in their only meeting last season 104-79, but Golden State was without both Curry and Draymond Green for that game.
Hawks at Warriors: Odds, spread and lines
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 5:58 p.m. ET.
- Money line: Hawks -250 (bet $250 to win $100) | Warriors +200 (bet $100 to win $200)
- Against the spread/ATS: Hawks -6.5 (-110) | Warriors +6.5 (-110)
- Over/Under: 218.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
Hawks at Warriors: Key injuries
Hawks
- SF De’Andre Hunter (knee) probable
- SG Cam Reddish (Achilles) out
- SG Lou Williams (acquisition) out
Warriors
- PF Draymond Green (illness) questionable
- PF Eric Paschall (illness) questionable
- PG Stephen Curry (tailbone) out
Special NBA Betting Promotion!
Place a $1 bet on either team’s money line, WIN an additional $100 (in free bets) if either team hits a 3-pointer during the game today. Promotion available in CO, IN, MI, NJ, TN, VA and WV. IA and PA residents, don’t miss BetMGM‘s risk-free, first-bet offer!
Place your legal, online sports bets at BetMGM! Terms and conditions apply. Bet now!
Hawks at Warriors: Odds, lines, predictions and picks
Prediction
Hawks 112, Warriors 101
Money line (ML)
PASS because the Warriors (+200) are 1-5 overall when Steph Curry has been out of the lineup but Hawks (-250) is a no-go.
Play our new free daily Pick’em Challenge and win! Play now!
Against the spread (ATS)
Golden State essentially needs to get lucky on offense to put up points without Curry and Atlanta crushed the Warriors last year when Curry was out with injury.
According to CleaningTheGlass.com, Curry is in the 100th percentile of guards in on-off rating for team net points per 100 possessions and effective field goal shooting (eFG%).
Also, the Hawks have the 2nd-highest FTA/FG rate and the Warriors have the 29th-ranked defensive FTA/FG rate so there’s a solid chance Atlanta racks up a ton of points at the charity stripe.
BET HAWKS -6.5 (-110) for a half-unit.
Over/Under (O/U)
The UNDER 218.5 (-110) is the best bet in Hawks-Warriors, especially if Draymond cannot play.
We’ve already discussed how limited Golden State is offensively when Curry doesn’t play but Atlanta is only 20th in eFG% as a team whereas the Warriors have the 9th-ranked defensive rating and are 5th in defensive eFG%.
Additionally, the Hawks are 5-6 O/U as a road favorite and the Warriors are 4-7 O/U as a home underdog.
Finally, this is a Pros vs. Joes scenario in the betting market as more money has been wagered on the Under but more bets have been placed on the Over, according to Pregame.com.
Typically, the sharp side of the gambling market is the money column and the average joe represents the bets placed column. Obviously, we want to follow the sharp money here.
GIMME UNDER 219.5 (-110) for 1 unit.
Want some action on this one? Place a bet at BetMGM now. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.
Follow @Geoffery_Clark on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.
Also see:
- Bet Slippin’ Podcast: 2021 MLB National League Betting Preview
- Warriors cap 2021 NBA trade deadline with two deals, moving Marquese Chriss and Brad Wanamaker (Warriors Wire)
Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. This information is for entertainment purposes only. We make no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of any content.
[lawrence-newsletter]
[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=1368]