The Atlanta Hawks (26-29) meet the Boston Celtics (32-25) at TD Garden Super Bowl Sunday for a 2 p.m. ET game. Below, we look at the Hawks vs. Celtics odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.
Atlanta is just 3-4 straight up (SU) and against the spread (ATS) and was blown out 136-121 by the San Antonio Spurs at home as an 8.5-point favorite.
Boston has won nine of its last 10 games including seven straight (4-3 ATS) with the latest being a 108-102 home victory versus the Denver Nuggets Friday.
The Hawks are 2-0 SU and ATS in their first two meetings this season with the Celtics and both games went Under the total.
Hawks at Celtics odds, spread and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 3:51 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Hawks +210 (bet $100 to win $210) | Celtics -270 (bet $270 to win $100)
- Against the spread: Hawks +6.5 (-120) | Celtics -6.5 (-105)
- Over/Under: 220.5 (O: -107 | U: -115)
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Hawks at Celtics key injuries
Hawks
- PF John Collins (foot) out
- PG Trae Young (hip) probable
Celtics
- None
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Hawks at Celtics odds, lines, picks and predictions
Prediction
Celtics 110, Hawks 102
Money line
PASS.
Even though Boston should win this game handily, the -270 price is just too expensive. However, I wouldn’t hate cross-sports parlay pairing up Boston’s money line with the Los Angeles Rams’ money line in Super Bowl 56.
Against the spread
GIMME the CELTICS -6.5 (-105) for 1 unit. They are in much better form and this is a bad spot for the Hawks.
Boston has the best adjusted net rating (plus-17.0) and ATS margin (plus-10.5) over the past two weeks, according to CleaningTheGlass.com.
Atlanta is 4-9 ATS on the road versus teams with a winning record, 3-10 ATS as an underdog of +3 or more and 6-11 ATS as a road underdog.
Furthermore, both teams attempt a high volume of mid-range field goals, but the Hawks are 22nd in defensive field-goal percentage versus mid-range shots whereas the Celtics are first.
For the record, the BOSTON -6.5 (-105) is my favorite wager in this contest.
Over/Under
LEAN to the UNDER 220.5 (-115) for a half-unit. The first two Hawks-Celtics meetings went Under the total, both teams play at a below-average pace and are top 10 in defensive FT/FGA rate.
Plus, Boston is 10-16 O/U as a home favorite with a minus-4.3 total margin and 9-18 O/U versus teams with a losing record.
Finally, Boston PG Marcus Smart has defended Young well in their career head-to-head meetings. Trae is averaging just 17.6 points per game on 36.6% shooting (24.6% from behind the arc) with 6.0 assists to 5.0 turnovers in his seven career games against the Celtics with Smart in the lineup.
I only “lean” to the UNDER 220.5 (-115) because Boston’s spread is my preferred play.
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