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The Tampa Bay Buccaneers (4-3) welcome the Atlanta Falcons (4-3) to Raymond James Stadium Sunday for NFL Week 8 action. Kickoff is set for 1 p.m. ET (FOX). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NFL odds around the Falcons vs. Buccaneers odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.
The Falcons had a 3-game winning streak snapped with a 34-14 loss to the Seattle Seahawks in Week 7 as a 3-point home favorite. Atlanta is 2-1 against the spread (ATS) in its last 3 games and 3-4 ATS this season. It beat the Buccaneers 36-30 in overtime in Week 5 at home, closing as a 2.5-point favorite. The Falcons have scored at least 36 points in 2 of their last 3 games.
The Bucs lost to the Baltimore Ravens 41-31 in Week 7 as a 4-point home underdog. They have traded off winning and losing over their last 6 games, scoring at least 30 points in 4 straight. Tampa Bay has allowed at least 27 points in 3 of those games. It is 4-3 ATS and 5-2 O/U on the season. The Bucs are led by QB Baker Mayfield, who has thrown for 18 TDs.
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Falcons at Buccaneers odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of NFL odds. Lines last updated Saturday at 9:25 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Falcons -145 (bet $145 to win $100) | Buccaneers +120 (bet $100 to win $120)
- Against the spread (ATS): Falcons -2.5 (-115) | Buccaneers +2.5 (-105)
- Over/Under (O/U): 46 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Falcons at Buccaneers key injuries
Falcons
- LB Troy Andersen (knee) out
- CB Antonio Hamilton (back) questionable
- OL Ryan Neuzil (knee) questionable
- S Justin Simmons (hamstring) doubtful
Buccaneers
- WR Mike Evans (hamstring) out
- DT Greg Gaines (calf) out
- RB Bucky Irving (toe) questionable
- DB Tykee Smith (concussion) out
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Falcons at Buccaneers picks and predictions
Prediction
Buccaneers 31, Falcons 27
Moneyline
BET BUCCANEERS (+120).
The Buccaneers have been on fire offensively. They have scored a combined 82 points in their last 2 games while the Falcons fell flat in Week 7 and have scored 17 or fewer in 3 of 7 games this season. Atlanta has allowed at least 30 points in 2 of its last 3 games.
The Buccaneers ended the first matchup between with teams with 160 rushing yards, and they should again be able to dominate the trenches, whereas the Falcons may find it difficult to have QB Kirk Cousins throw for 477 passing yards again.
That said, considering how well Tampa Bay has been scoring recently, take BUCCANEERS (+120) to win outright at home.
Against the spread
PASS.
The Buccaneers are preferably taken on the moneyline here given the plus-money nature, and given it is a divisional matchup, splitting the series seems more reasonable than taking them on the spread at less than a field goal amount.
The spread is playable, but the moneyline is the better option here.
Over/Under
BET OVER 46.5 (-110).
The Falcons are 3-1 O/U in their last 4 games and have scored at least 26 points in 3 of their last 4, allowing at least 20 points in all but 1 game this season. Atlanta tallied 17 in the first half against Tampa Bay and should be able to dice up the defense again.
The Bucs offense has been hot, and their defense has been struggling as of late. They are 4-0 O/U in their last 4 and 5-2. Considering the trends for both teams, back OVER 46.5 (-110).
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