The Tampa Bay Buccaneers (10-5) host the Atlanta Falcons (4-11) in Week 17 for a 1 p.m. ET kickoff at Raymond James Stadium. Below, we preview the Falcons-Buccaneers betting odds and lines and make our NFL picks and predictions.
Falcons at Buccaneers: Betting odds, spread and lines
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 2:40 p.m. ET.
- Money line: Falcons +275 (bet $100 to win $275) | Buccaneers -350 (bet $350 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS: Falcons +6.5 (-110) | Buccaneers -6.5 (-110)
- Over/Under: 50.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Falcons at Buccaneers: Game notes
- The Buccaneers have already secured a postseason berth. They’ll get the NFC’s fifth seed with a victory but will fall to No. 6 with a loss and a win by the Los Angeles Rams (host Arizona Cardinals). The conference’s fifth seed will play the sub-.500 winner of the NFC East in the Wild Card Round.
- Tampa Bay beat Atlanta 31-27 at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Week 15. The Falcons had a 17-0 lead at halftime but Buccaneers QB Tom Brady finished with 390 passing yards and 2 touchdowns to lead the comeback.
- Buccaneers RB Ronald Jones II is expected to return to the lineup after missing the last two games while on the Reserve/COVID-19 list. He has 1,065 yards from scrimmage and 7 total touchdowns on the year.
- The Falcons have lost four straight games, including a 17-14 defeat at the Kansas City Chiefs last week. All four losses were played within 5 points.
- The Bucs have won three straight games since returning from a Week 13 bye. They walloped the Detroit Lions 47-7 on the road last week.
- Tampa Bay hasn’t swept a season series against NFC South rival Atlanta since 2015.
Falcons at Buccaneers: Key injuries
Falcons
- C Alex Mack (COVID-19 list) out
- WR Julio Jones (hamstring) questionable
- CB Darqueze Dennard (quadriceps) questionable
- DE Charles Harris (personal) questionable
Buccaneers
- CB Carlton Davis (groin) questionable
- RB Leonard Fournette (abdomen) questionable
- DL Jeremiah Ledbetter (calf) questionable
- LB Jason Pierre-Paul (knee) questionable
Falcons at Buccaneers: Odds, betting lines, predictions and picks
Prediction
Buccaneers 26, Falcons 20
Money line (?)
The playoff-bound Buccaneers will beat the Falcons for the second time in three weeks but we can’t lay the chalky -350.
PASS and turn to the spread and Over/Under.
Against the spread (?)
Back the FALCONS +6.5 (-110) to continue to keep games close. Eight of their 11 losses on the season have been played within a score, and they took a 24-21 lead into the fourth quarter of their Week 15 loss to the Bucs.
Over/Under (?)
I feel most confident in the UNDER 50.5 (-110) when betting this game. The Buccaneers rested Brady in favor of backup Blaine Gabbert in the second half of last week’s blowout win over the Lions and they should be expected to do the same in the regular-season finale.
Expect a heavy dose of Jones in his return to the lineup as he gets warmed up for the postseason.
Want action on this NFL game? Sign up and bet at BetMGM. If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.
Also see:
- 20 experienced head-coaching candidates for Atlanta in 2021 (Falcons Wire)
- Watch: Brady’s spot-on Gronkowski impression (Buccaneers Wire)
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