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The Atlanta Falcons (6-7) meet the Las Vegas Raiders (2-11) Monday at Allegiant Stadium in Week 15. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:30 p.m. ET (ESPN). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NFL odds around the Falcons vs. Raiders odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.
The Falcons were trounced 42-21 as 6-point underdogs at Minnesota in Week 14, dropping a fourth consecutive game. Atlanta is 0-4 against the spread (ATS) in that skid, while a 4-game Under streak was snapped with the Over (46.5) hitting in the Vikings game.
Against the AFC, the Falcons are 0-4 straight up (SU) and ATS. The Under is also 4-0 in those 4 games with Atlanta averaging 11.5 points per game (PPG) and allowing 23.8 PPG.
The Raiders are in a 9-game nosedive and 1-4 ATS in the past 5 outings. They lost 28-13 as 7-point underdogs at the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in Week 14. The Under has cashed in the past 2 games, while the offense hasn’t scored more than 19 points in the last 4 outings and hasn’t scored more than 20 in 9 of the past 10.
Las Vegas is 0-3 SU and 1-2 ATS in 3 tries against NFC foes this season, while the Under has cashed in 2 of those 3 outings.
The news got worse for the Raiders Saturday, as it was announced star DE Maxx Crosby will miss the rest of the season following surgery for an ankle injury.
QB Aidan O’Connell is questionable for Monday’s game with a bone bruise involving his knee, and he didn’t practice all week. If he sits, QB Desmond Ridder, a third-round pick of the Falcons in 2022, could get his first Raiders start against his former team.
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Falcons at Raiders odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of NFL odds. Lines last updated Sunday at 10:06 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Falcons -250 (bet $250 to win $100) | Raiders +195 (bet $100 to win $195)
- Against the spread: Falcons -5.5 (-110) | Raiders +5.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 44.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Falcons at Raiders key injuries
Falcons
- None
Raiders
- DT Adam Butler (concussion) questionable
- DE Maxx Crosby (ankle) out
- QB Aidan O’Connell (knee) questionable
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Falcons at Raiders picks and predictions
Prediction
Raiders 23, Falcons 18
Moneyline
The RAIDERS (+195) are the better value in this Monday night game as a Las Vegas win outright nearly pays 2-to-1.
The Falcons (-250) have been a disaster against AFC teams this season, and they’ve lost their last 4 overall. QB Kirk Cousins has been mistake-prone. He has 0 TDs and 8 INTs in the past 4 outings, leading some to call for rookie QB Michael Penix Jr. to start the final 4 games of the season.
Against the spread
The Raiders +5.5 (-110) aren’t a bad play if you’d rather take the points and not bet the moneyline, needing for Las Vegas to win outright.
Ridder comes in with the revenge factor, and he has a huge target in rookie TE Brock Bowers, one of the best tight ends in the NFL already. He should be a nice safety valve and security blanket on short to intermediate routes.
As mentioned, the Falcons are 0-4 ATS against AFC teams. That winless mark doesn’t appear likely to change Monday.
Whichever way you decide to go — betting the moneyline or spread — don’t wager more than 1½ UNITS betwen the 2 options.
Over/Under
UNDER 44.5 (-110) is the way to go.
The Under has hit in all 4 games for Atlanta against AFC foes this season, while going 4-1 in the past 5 outings.
The Las Vegas offense isn’t going to put up huge numbers on this Atlanta defense like Minnesota did last week. The Raiders have cashed low in the past 2 games, and the Under is 2-1 in their 3 tries against NFC teams this season.
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